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Serie B
Referee: M Marchetti
Genoa
S U T S S
0–0
Full-time
Cagliari
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Cagliari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 50%
57%
43%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
29%
29%
Both score Ø 36%
29%
43%
Average goals
2,0
2,1
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
15 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
5 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 4. · Cagliari 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggina 7 5 0 2 +11 15
2 Bari 7 4 3 0 +8 15
3 Brescia 7 5 0 2 +0 15
4 Genoa 7 4 2 1 +4 14
5 Ternana 7 4 1 2 +1 13
6 Frosinone 7 4 0 3 +4 12
7 Parma 7 3 3 1 +3 12
8 Cosenza 7 3 2 2 +2 11
9 Cagliari 7 3 1 3 -1 10
10 Sudtirol 7 3 1 3 -3 10
11 Spal 7 2 3 2 -1 9
12 Ascoli 7 2 3 2 -1 9
13 Venezia 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Benevento 7 2 2 3 -1 8
15 Cittadella 7 2 2 3 -4 8
16 Palermo 7 2 1 4 -3 7
17 Modena 7 2 0 5 -2 6
18 Pisa 7 1 2 4 -2 5
19 Perugia 7 1 1 5 -7 4
20 Como 7 0 3 4 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Cagliari
Morten Frendrup 🟨
30′
31′
🟨 Alessandro Deiola
Half-time 0–0
F. Jagiełło 🔁
↦ G. Yalçın
61′
64′
🔁 F. Falco
↦ Zito Luvumbo
65′
🟨 Nahitan Nández
Kevin Strootman 🟨
67′
M. Portanova 🔁
↦ M. Aramu
75′
78′
🔁 N. Viola
↦ M. Mancosu
78′
🔁 L. Pavoletti
↦ G. Lapadula
85′
🟨 Filippo Falco
G. Puşcaş 🔁
↦ M. Frendrup
85′
88′
🔁 F. Carboni
↦ A. Obert
89′
🔁 N. Lella
↦ A. Makoumbou
Manolo Portanova 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Genoa

4-2-3-1
22 Josep Martínez G
2 S. Sabelli D
13 M. Bani D
5 R. Drăgușin D
93 M. Pajač D
32 M. Frendrup M
8 K. Strootman M
50 G. Yalçın M
10 M. Aramu M
11 A. Guðmundsson M
9 M. Coda F
Bench (10)
24 F. Jagiełło
90 M. Portanova
57 G. Puşcaş
1 A. Šemper
31 S. Ilsanker
3 L. Czyborra
14 A. Vogliacco
94 A. Touré
21 K. Yeboah
82 G. Agostino

Coach: A. Blessin

Cagliari

4-3-3
1 B. Radunović G
99 A. Di Pardo D
3 E. Goldaniga D
15 G. Altare D
33 A. Obert D
8 N. Nández M
29 A. Makoumbou M
14 A. Deiola M
77 Zito Luvumbo F
9 G. Lapadula F
5 M. Mancosu F
Bench (12)
25 F. Falco
10 N. Viola
30 L. Pavoletti
16 F. Carboni
23 N. Lella
19 V. Millico
4 A. Dossena
28 G. Zappa
20 G. Pereiro
18 S. Aresti
22 G. Ciocci
24 E. Capradossi

Coach: F. Liverani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,76
U ✓
3,58
B
4,63
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.