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Serie B
Cittadella
S S S U S
1–2
Full-time
Monza
U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Monza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
33%
25%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,3
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
75%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

11 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 4
21 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 3. · Monza 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Empoli 5 4 1 0 +6 13
2 Salernitana 5 3 2 0 +5 11
3 Cittadella 4 3 1 0 +7 10
4 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 +3 10
5 Chievo 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Venezia 4 2 1 1 +3 7
7 Reggina 5 1 4 0 +2 7
8 Spal 5 1 3 1 +0 6
9 Lecce 5 1 3 1 -1 6
10 Cosenza 5 0 5 0 +0 5
11 Reggiana 4 1 1 2 +0 4
12 Brescia 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Pordenone 5 0 4 1 -2 4
14 Ascoli 5 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Monza 4 0 3 1 -1 3
16 Cremonese 4 0 3 1 -2 3
17 Virtus Entella 4 0 3 1 -2 3
18 Pisa 5 0 3 2 -5 3
19 Vicenza 4 0 2 2 -2 2
20 Pescara 5 0 1 4 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,61
U
2,98
B ✓
2,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.