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Serie B

Perugia

S U U S T

1–0

Full-time

Pisa

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Pisa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3 Shots 3

3 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 7

19 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 6. · Pisa 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Salernitana	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	Ascoli	6	4	0	2	+9	12
4	Benevento	6	3	3	0	+6	12
5	Crotone	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Perugia	6	3	2	1	+1	11
7	Virtus Entella	6	3	2	1	+1	11
8	Cremonese	6	3	1	2	-1	10
9	Pisa	6	2	3	1	+4	9
10	Cittadella	6	3	0	3	-3	9
11	Pordenone	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Venezia	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Chievo	6	1	4	1	+1	7
14	Pescara	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Frosinone	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Spezia	6	1	1	4	-4	4
17	Trapani	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Livorno	6	1	1	4	-4	4
19	Cosenza	6	0	3	3	-3	3
20	Juve Stabia	6	0	1	5	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ascoli	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Empoli	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Benevento	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Pordenone	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Perugia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Cremonese	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Cittadella	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Virtus Entella	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Crotone	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Frosinone	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Pisa	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Salernitana	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Pescara	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Chievo	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Livorno	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Cosenza	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Trapani	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Venezia	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Juve Stabia	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	Venezia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Crotone	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Pisa	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Benevento	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Empoli	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Virtus Entella	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Chievo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Cremonese	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Perugia	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Ascoli	3	1	0	2	+2	3
12	Spezia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Trapani	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Pescara	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Cittadella	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Cosenza	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Pordenone	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Livorno	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Juve Stabia	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Frosinone	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.