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Coupe de France
Referee: M Leleu
2–4
Full-time
Dijon
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Red Star 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 SA Mérignac 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Caen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Bastia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Saint-Denis 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Boulogne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Metz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Clermont 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Ginglin Cesson 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Chasselay MDA 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Angoulême 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 RC Saint Joseph 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Dragon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Avranches 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Raon l'Etape 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Biesheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Corte 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Linas-Montlhery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Saint-Pierre Milizac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Dinan Léhon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Crépy-en-Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Diables Noirs 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Rodez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Samaritaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Alençon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 Ruffiac Malestroit 1 0 0 1 -2 0
35 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 0 1 -3 0
36 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
37 FCSR Obernai 1 0 0 1 -3 0
38 Feytiat 1 0 0 1 -3 0
39 C' Chartres 1 0 0 1 -4 0
40 Freyming 1 0 0 1 -4 0
41 Haubourdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0
42 St-Philbert Réorthe JA 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grandvillars Dijon
5′
A. Djae 0–1
1–1 Ş. Evsan
43′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 R. di Vora
54′
58′
J. Ikanga A Ngele 2–2
62′
J. Ikanga A Ngele 2–3
J. Gaag 🔁
↦ R. di Vora
65′
65′
🔁 K. Schur
↦ J. Ikanga A Ngele
65′
🔁 M. Ben Fredj
↦ J. Meyer
A. Moser 🔁
↦ N. Pommier
75′
V. Cartier 🔁
↦ J. Ketfi
75′
77′
🔁 B. Hamada
↦ R. Souici
77′
🔁 S. Saber
↦ A. Lembezat
83′
B. Hamada 2–4
A. Polidoro 🔁
↦ K. Lotz
88′
W. Aboub 🔁
↦ Ş. Evsan
88′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Grandvillars

K. Lotz
B. Horiot
V. Pillot
K. Kouang
A. Bon
J. Ketfi
É. Rzepecki
R. di Vora
N. Pommier
Ş. Evsan
M. Philippe
Bench (7)
J. Gaag
A. Moser
V. Cartier
A. Polidoro
W. Aboub
N. Pommier
T. Dumontier

Coach: H. Genet

Dijon

L. Montfort
M. Moussa
M. Sylla
I. Akakpo
I. Diallo
R. Souici
A. Lembezat
Y. Chahid
J. Meyer
J. Ikanga A Ngele
A. Djae
Bench (7)
K. Schur
M. Ben Fredj
B. Hamada
S. Saber
C. Makutungu
H. Vargas-Ríos
P. Delecroix

Coach: B. Ridira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Leleu · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.