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Ligue 2
Referee: A Taleb
Montpellier
S S U U U
2–1
Full-time
Grenoble
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Grenoble
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
27%
40%
Both score Ø 47%
37%
57%
Average goals
2,1
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Montpellier 7. · Grenoble 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 30 17 7 6 +20 58
2 St Etienne 30 17 6 7 +22 57
3 Le Mans 30 14 12 4 +16 54
4 Reims 30 12 12 6 +15 48
5 Red Star 29 13 9 7 +6 48
6 Rodez 30 12 12 6 +3 48
7 Montpellier 30 12 8 10 +8 44
8 Annecy 30 12 7 11 +2 43
9 Pau FC 30 11 9 10 -7 42
10 Dunkerque 30 10 10 10 +8 40
11 Guingamp 30 10 10 10 -3 40
12 Boulogne 30 9 9 12 -8 36
13 Grenoble 30 6 14 10 -7 32
14 Clermont 30 7 9 14 -7 30
15 Nancy 30 7 9 14 -16 30
16 Laval 30 4 13 13 -17 25
17 Amiens 30 6 6 18 -18 24
18 Bastia 29 3 12 14 -17 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montpellier Grenoble
1–0 E. Molebe
A. Mendy
25′
Theo Sainte Luce 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
Y. Issoufou 🔁
↦ E. Molebe
64′
64′
🔁 S. Delos
↦ M. Mion
64′
🔁 U. Bonnet
↦ M. Djitte
K. Fayad 🔁
↦ A. Gueguin
65′
2–0 J. Laporte
71′
72′
🔁 L. Bernadou
↦ B. Mouazan
72′
🔁 N. Zahui
↦ E. Maurin
T. Savanier 🔁
↦ N. Mbuku
74′
78′
🟨 Mattheo Xantippe
79′
🔁 S. Diba
↦ M. Xantippe
L. Mincarelli 🔁
↦ T. Sainte-Luce
81′
90′
U. Bonnet 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
31 S. Ngapandouetnbu G
29 E. Tchato D
15 J. Laporte D
6 C. Jullien D
17 T. Sainte-Luce D
22 A. Gueguin M
44 T. Chennahi M
18 N. Pays M
7 N. Mbuku M
14 E. Molebe M
19 A. Mendy F
Bench (7)
1 M. Michel
8 Y. Issoufou
11 T. Savanier
10 K. Fayad
77 E. Junior Pereira da Silva
21 L. Mincarelli
3 N. El Hannach

Coach: Zoumana Camara

Grenoble

4-4-2
13 M. Diop G
29 G. Paquiez D
24 L. Mouyokolo D
5 C. Vidal D
26 M. Mion D
20 E. Maurin M
27 M. Xantippe M
8 J. Benet M
7 Y. Diaby M
10 B. Mouazan F
2 M. Djitte F
Bench (7)
16 B. Allain
6 L. Bernadou
17 S. Delos
19 N. Zahui
30 S. Diba
12 U. Bonnet
4 S. Mambo

Coach: Frederic Gueguen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,65
U
3,63
B
4,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Taleb · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.