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Ligue 2

Referee: G Kubler

Caen

S T T U T

1–0

Full-time

Ajaccio

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

19 Shots 3

8 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

10 Corners 1

1 Offside 5

17 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 16. · Ajaccio 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Paris FC	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Lorient	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Pau FC	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Metz	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Bastia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Annecy	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Grenoble	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Ajaccio	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Amiens	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Dunkerque	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Red Star	4	2	0	2	-2	6
13	Clermont	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Martigues	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Laval	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Caen	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Troyes	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Rodez	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Grenoble	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Amiens	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Ajaccio	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Bastia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	Annecy	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Red Star	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Paris FC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Dunkerque	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Metz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Laval	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Clermont	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Caen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Martigues	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Rodez	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Metz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Paris FC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Guingamp	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Annecy	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Bastia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Dunkerque	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Lorient	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Martigues	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Red Star	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Pau FC	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Laval	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Ajaccio	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Troyes	3	0	1	2	-5	1
15	Grenoble	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Rodez	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Caen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.