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Ligue 2
Referee: T Bouille
Caen
T T U T S
2–1
Full-time
Amiens
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 20%
40%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 15. · Amiens 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bastia 5 3 2 0 +3 11
2 Guingamp 5 3 1 1 +5 10
3 Grenoble 5 3 1 1 +5 10
4 Lorient 5 3 1 1 +3 10
5 Metz 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Paris FC 5 3 0 2 +2 9
7 Amiens 5 3 0 2 +1 9
8 Dunkerque 5 3 0 2 +0 9
9 Annecy 5 2 2 1 +3 8
10 Pau FC 5 2 2 1 +3 8
11 Ajaccio 5 2 1 2 +0 7
12 Red Star 5 2 0 3 -5 6
13 Laval 5 1 2 2 +1 5
14 Clermont 5 1 1 3 -2 4
15 Caen 5 1 1 3 -4 4
16 Rodez 5 1 0 4 -2 3
17 Martigues 5 1 0 4 -7 3
18 Troyes 5 0 1 4 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Amiens
1–0 Alexandre Mendy
B. Brahimi
13′
26′
L. Mafouta 1–1
F. Boya
30′
🟨 Owen Gene
Diabe Bolumbu 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
V. Henry 🔁
↦ D. Bolumbu
46′
N. Lebreton 🔁
↦ D. Debohi
62′
Noe Lebreton 🟨
70′
73′
🟨 Frank Boya
2–1 Alexandre Mendy
T. Gomis
81′
82′
🔁 I. Fofana
↦ O. Géne
82′
🔁 L. Moussier
↦ N. Kandil
L. Rajot 🔁
↦ G. Kyeremeh
84′
87′
🔁 A. Chibozo
↦ R. Lutin
M. Le Bihan 🔁
↦ T. Gomis
91′
K. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ Alexandre Mendy
91′
Bilal Brahimi 🟨
97′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Caen

4-2-3-1
1 A. Mandréa G
3 D. Bolumbu D
61 B. Traoré D
29 R. Thomas D
28 Q. Lecoeuche D
77 D. Debohi
6 Y. M'Vila M
17 G. Kyeremeh M
10 B. Brahimi M
7 T. Gomis M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
4 V. Henry
20 N. Lebreton
14 L. Rajot
8 M. Le Bihan
18 K. Coulibaly
50 I. Najim
16 Y. Clémentia

Coach: N. Seube

Amiens

5-4-1
1 R. Gurtner G
7 A. Léautey D
34 S. Bakayoko D
2 M. Fofana D
5 O. Urhoghide D
19 R. Vita D
10 N. Kandil M
29 F. Boya M
25 O. Géne M
27 R. Lutin M
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
45 I. Fofana
35 L. Moussier
17 A. Chibozo
58 M. Tine
13 M. Jaouab
16 A. Sauvage
39 A. Chabane

Coach: O. Daf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,98
U
3,23
B
3,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,26
U2,5
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Bouille · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.