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Ligue 2
Referee: J Brisard
Bastia
S U U S S
0–0
Full-time
Troyes
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
0,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-2,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 2. · Troyes 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Bastia 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Guingamp 3 2 0 1 +4 6
4 Amiens 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Lorient 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Ajaccio 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Red Star 3 2 0 1 -1 6
8 Metz 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Pau FC 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Annecy 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Clermont 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Grenoble 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Martigues 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Dunkerque 3 1 0 2 -2 3
15 Laval 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Caen 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Rodez 3 0 0 3 -4 0
18 Troyes 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bastia Troyes
Zakaria Ariss 🟨
4′
24′
🟨 Cyriaque Irié
Julien Maggiotti 🟨
33′
40′
🟨 Ismaël Boura
43′
🟨 Jaures Assoumou
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Abdoulaye Kante
Juan Guevara 🟨
56′
63′
🔁 K. Dong
↦ J. Assoumou
L. Cissé 🔁
↦ C. Rodrigues
65′
C. Vincent 🔁
↦ J. Maggiotti
65′
70′
🔁 Y. M'Changama
↦ M. Adeline
Dylan Tavares 🔁
↦ Z. Ariss
80′
F. Tomi 🔁
↦ L. Tramoni
84′
85′
🔁 R. Ripart
↦ R. Saïd
85′
🔁 M. Diop
↦ X. Chavalerin
94′
🟨 Mouhamed Diop
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Bastia

4-2-3-1
30 J. Placide G
15 F. Bohnert D
28 G. Akueson D
3 J. Guevara D
17 Z. Ariss D
13 T. Ducrocq M
14 L. Etoga M
27 L. Tramoni M
5 J. Maggiotti M
10 A. Boutrah M
25 C. Rodrigues F
Bench (7)
11 L. Cissé
7 C. Vincent
42 Dylan Tavares
9 F. Tomi
2 C. Inao Oulaï
23 J. Fabri
4 A. Roncaglia

Coach: B. Tavenot

Troyes

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Boucher G
17 Houboulang Mendes D
5 M. Tahrat D
4 J. Diaz D
14 I. Boura D
42 A. Kanté M
7 X. Chavalerin M
15 J. Assoumou M
24 M. Adeline M
11 R. Saïd M
21 C. Irié F
Bench (7)
27 K. Dong
10 Y. M'Changama
20 R. Ripart
8 M. Diop
23 P. Gozzi
16 N. Lemaître
19 J. Nonge Boende

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,68
U ✓
3,61
B
5,07
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.