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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Troyes
U T T T U
0–3
Full-time
Rodez
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,3
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 17. · Rodez 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Guingamp 4 3 0 1 +5 9
2 Paris FC 4 3 0 1 +3 9
3 Lorient 4 3 0 1 +3 9
4 Pau FC 4 2 2 0 +4 8
5 Metz 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Bastia 4 2 2 0 +2 8
7 Annecy 4 2 1 1 +3 7
8 Grenoble 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Ajaccio 4 2 1 1 +1 7
10 Amiens 4 2 0 2 +0 6
11 Dunkerque 4 2 0 2 -1 6
12 Red Star 4 2 0 2 -2 6
13 Clermont 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Martigues 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Laval 4 0 2 2 -2 2
16 Caen 4 0 1 3 -5 1
17 Troyes 4 0 1 3 -6 1
18 Rodez 4 0 0 4 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Rodez
18′
N. Cadiou 0–1
Michel Diaz 🟨
22′
Half-time 0–1
Y. M'Changama 🔁
↦ X. Chavalerin
64′
P. Ba 🔁
↦ J. Assoumou
64′
64′
🔁 D. Jean
↦ I. Baldé
64′
🔁 W. Taïbi
↦ D. Mazou-Sacko
68′
T. Nkada 0–2
W. Taïbi
K. Dong 🔁
↦ C. Irié
75′
M. Diop 🔁
↦ M. Adeline
75′
78′
🔁 M. Bouchouari
↦ N. Galves
78′
🔁 J. Chougrani
↦ A. Abdallah
J. Nonge Boende 🔁
↦ A. Kanté
81′
85′
D. Jean 0–3
T. Nkada
87′
🔁 M. Achi
↦ T. Nkada
90′
🟨 Joris Chougrani
Joseph Nonge 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Troyes

4-4-2
1 Z. Boucher G
17 Houboulang Mendes D
4 J. Diaz D
5 M. Tahrat D
14 I. Boura D
15 J. Assoumou M
7 X. Chavalerin M
42 A. Kanté M
11 R. Saïd M
24 M. Adeline F
21 C. Irié F
Bench (7)
10 Y. M'Changama
25 P. Ba
27 K. Dong
8 M. Diop
19 J. Nonge Boende
23 P. Gozzi
16 N. Lemaître

Coach: S. Dumont

Rodez

5-3-2
16 L. Mpasi G
25 N. Galves D
24 L. Laurent
17 A. Pelon D
4 S. Mambo D
28 A. Abdallah D
19 D. Mazou-Sacko M
5 N. Cadiou M
8 W. Younoussa M
18 I. Baldé F
9 T. Nkada F
Bench (7)
20 D. Jean
10 W. Taïbi
11 M. Bouchouari
21 J. Chougrani
7 M. Achi
2 É. Vandenabeele
1 S. Cibois

Coach: D. Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,61
U
3,29
B ✓
2,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.