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Ligue 2
Referee: O Thual
Caen
S U T S S
0–0
Full-time
Troyes
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 34%
43%
24%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 55%
52%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
19 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 6. · Troyes 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Angers 21 13 4 4 +16 43
2 Auxerre 21 12 6 3 +22 42
3 Grenoble 21 9 9 3 +8 36
4 Laval 21 10 6 5 +4 36
5 Amiens 22 9 7 6 -1 34
6 Caen 21 9 5 7 +4 32
7 St Etienne 22 9 5 8 +0 32
8 Guingamp 21 8 7 6 +8 31
9 Rodez 21 8 7 6 +3 31
10 Paris FC 21 9 4 8 +2 31
11 Pau FC 21 8 7 6 +1 31
12 Ajaccio 21 8 6 7 -2 30
13 Bordeaux 21 7 5 9 -5 26
14 Concarneau 21 7 4 10 -8 25
15 Bastia 21 6 6 9 -1 24
16 Troyes 21 5 8 8 -2 23
17 Annecy 21 4 7 10 -8 19
18 Quevilly Rouen 21 3 8 10 -6 17
19 Dunkerque 21 4 5 12 -17 17
20 Valenciennes 21 1 8 12 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Troyes
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Xavier Chavalerin
Noe Lebreton 🟨
52′
63′
🔁 N. de Préville
↦ S. Elisor
63′
🔁 J. Olaïtan
↦ K. Dong
Brahim Traoré 🟨
69′
G. Kyeremeh 🔁
↦ M. Le Bihan
78′
M. Autret 🔁
↦ C. Zady Sery
79′
D. Debohi 🔁
↦ B. Traoré
79′
80′
🔁 M. Diop
↦ Y. MChangama
H. Mbock 🔁
↦ N. Lebreton
87′
89′
🔁 E. N'jo
↦ R. Saïd
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Caen

4-4-2
16 Y. Clémentia G
4 V. Henry D
61 B. Traoré D
29 R. Thomas D
27 D. Meddah D
21 B. Brahimi M
6 Q. Daubin M
20 N. Lebreton M
10 C. Zady Sery M
11 M. Le Bihan F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
17 G. Kyeremeh
23 M. Autret
97 D. Debohi
18 H. Mbock
92 A. Coeff
5 S. Ben Youssef
35 P. Mandanda

Coach: N. Seube

Troyes

4-1-4-1
38 D. Alemdar G
36 R. Kohon D
22 T. Zoukrou D
5 M. Tahrat D
8 I. Boura D
42 A. Kanté M
27 K. Dong M
10 Y. M'Changama M
24 X. Chavalerin M
11 R. Saïd M
14 S. Elisor F
Bench (7)
17 N. de Préville
23 J. Olaïtan
28 M. Diop
37 E. N'jo
19 A. Bruus
30 Z. Boucher
32 M. Hamdi

Coach: D. Guion

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,90
U ✓
3,48
B
3,89
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.