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Ligue 2
Referee: R Landry
Troyes
T T U U U
2–1
Full-time
Caen
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
8%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
58%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
67%
58%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 22
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 11
5 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 17. · Caen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 12 8 2 2 +7 26
2 St Etienne 13 7 3 3 +6 24
3 Angers 12 7 2 3 +7 23
4 Auxerre 12 6 4 2 +12 22
5 Grenoble 12 5 6 1 +6 21
6 Rodez 12 5 4 3 +4 19
7 Pau FC 12 5 3 4 -1 18
8 Guingamp 12 4 5 3 +6 17
9 Ajaccio 12 4 5 3 -1 17
10 Amiens 12 4 4 4 -3 16
11 Caen 12 4 3 5 +3 15
12 Annecy 12 3 6 3 -1 15
13 Concarneau 12 4 3 5 -5 15
14 Paris FC 13 4 2 7 -3 14
15 Bastia 12 3 4 5 -6 13
16 Bordeaux 12 3 4 5 -6 13
17 Troyes 12 1 7 4 -2 10
18 Valenciennes 12 1 6 5 -8 9
19 Dunkerque 12 2 3 7 -9 9
20 Quevilly Rouen 12 1 4 7 -6 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Caen
1–0 L. Ilić
Abdu Conté
17′
21′
🟨 Ali Abdi
Abdoulaye Ndiaye 🟨
38′
Rafiki Saïd 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
Kyliane Dong 🟨
50′
61′
Alexandre Mendy 1–1
B. Traoré
62′
🔁 M. Le Bihan
↦ G. Kyeremeh
62′
🔁 Q. Daubin
↦ B. Traoré
I. Boura 🔁
↦ Abdu Conté
63′
2–1 J. Assoumou
A. N'Diaye
64′
A. Bruus 🔁
↦ R. Saïd
71′
80′
🔁 T. Gomis
↦ C. Zady Sery
85′
🔁 N. Lebreton
↦ H. Mbock
J. Olaïtan 🔁
↦ K. Dong
87′
Derek Mazou-Sacko 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Troyes

4-2-3-1
38 D. Alemdar G
28 M. Diop D
22 T. Zoukrou D
3 A. N'Diaye D
12 Abdu Conté D
39 D. Mazou-Sacko M
10 Y. M'Changama M
27 K. Dong M
21 L. Ilić M
11 R. Saïd M
40 J. Assoumou F
Bench (7)
8 I. Boura
19 A. Bruus
23 J. Olaïtan
16 N. Lemaître
33 R. Kohon
34 A. Lefebvre
36 Y. Titi

Coach: P. Kisnorbo

Caen

4-1-4-1
16 Y. Clémentia G
92 A. Coeff D
91 E. Ntim D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
61 B. Traoré M
17 G. Kyeremeh M
8 Y. Court M
18 H. Mbock M
10 C. Zady Sery M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
11 M. Le Bihan
6 Q. Daubin
7 T. Gomis
20 N. Lebreton
28 D. Diani
97 D. Debohi
1 A. Mandréa

Coach: J. Furlan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,79
U
3,31
B
2,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Landry · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.