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Ligue 2

Referee: K Abed

Troyes

T S S T U

3–1

Full-time

Ajaccio

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 32%

21%

42%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

47%

37%

Both score Ø 45%

58%

32%

Average goals

2,4

2,0

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%

12 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 1

3 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 16. · Ajaccio 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	19	12	4	3	+17	40
2	Auxerre	19	11	5	3	+20	38
3	Laval	20	10	5	5	+4	35
4	Grenoble	19	9	7	3	+8	34
5	Pau FC	19	8	7	4	+3	31
6	Ajaccio	19	8	6	5	+2	30
7	St Etienne	20	8	5	7	+0	29
8	Guingamp	19	7	6	6	+7	27
9	Rodez	19	7	6	6	+2	27
10	Paris FC	19	8	3	8	+1	27
11	Caen	19	7	5	7	+2	26
12	Amiens	19	6	7	6	-4	25
13	Bordeaux	19	6	5	8	-5	23
14	Concarneau	19	6	4	9	-8	22
15	Bastia	19	5	6	8	-2	21
16	Troyes	19	4	8	7	-3	20
17	Annecy	19	4	7	8	-6	19
18	Quevilly Rouen	19	3	8	8	-4	17
19	Dunkerque	19	3	4	12	-19	13
20	Valenciennes	19	1	8	10	-15	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	10	8	2	0	+15	26
2	Ajaccio	10	6	4	0	+9	22
3	Pau FC	10	5	4	1	+6	19
4	Rodez	9	5	3	1	+8	18
5	Grenoble	9	5	3	1	+4	18
6	Auxerre	9	5	2	2	+10	17
7	Amiens	11	4	5	2	+2	17
8	Laval	10	5	2	3	-1	17
9	Bastia	9	4	3	2	+1	15
10	St Etienne	11	4	3	4	+1	15
11	Caen	9	4	2	3	+4	14
12	Paris FC	10	4	2	4	+3	14
13	Guingamp	9	3	3	3	+5	12
14	Bordeaux	9	3	3	3	+1	12
15	Troyes	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Annecy	10	2	4	4	-2	10
17	Quevilly Rouen	9	2	3	4	-1	9
18	Concarneau	9	2	2	5	-6	8
19	Valenciennes	9	0	4	5	-7	4
20	Dunkerque	10	0	2	8	-15	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	10	6	3	1	+10	21
2	Laval	10	5	3	2	+5	18
3	Grenoble	10	4	4	2	+4	16
4	Guingamp	10	4	3	3	+2	15
5	Angers	9	4	2	3	+2	14
6	St Etienne	9	4	2	3	-1	14
7	Concarneau	10	4	2	4	-2	14
8	Paris FC	9	4	1	4	-2	13
9	Caen	10	3	3	4	-2	12
10	Pau FC	9	3	3	3	-3	12
11	Dunkerque	9	3	2	4	-4	11
12	Bordeaux	10	3	2	5	-6	11
13	Troyes	10	1	6	3	-2	9
14	Annecy	9	2	3	4	-4	9
15	Rodez	10	2	3	5	-6	9
16	Quevilly Rouen	10	1	5	4	-3	8
17	Amiens	8	2	2	4	-6	8
18	Ajaccio	9	2	2	5	-7	8
19	Valenciennes	10	1	4	5	-8	7
20	Bastia	10	1	3	6	-3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.