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Ligue 2
Caen
T T S S U
0–1
Full-time
Troyes
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 40%
25%
54%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
2,3
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 3
6 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 13. · Troyes 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 24 16 3 5 +22 51
2 Lens 24 13 8 3 +16 47
3 Ajaccio 24 12 6 6 +10 42
4 Clermont 24 11 8 5 +7 41
5 Troyes 24 13 2 9 +4 41
6 Le Havre 24 9 11 4 +11 38
7 Guingamp 24 9 8 7 +8 35
8 Valenciennes 24 9 8 7 +2 35
9 Nancy 24 6 15 3 +4 33
10 Sochaux 24 8 8 8 +1 32
11 Grenoble 24 6 14 4 +1 32
12 Auxerre 24 7 9 8 +2 30
13 Caen 24 6 10 8 -4 28
14 Rodez 24 7 6 11 -3 27
15 Chambly 24 7 6 11 -8 27
16 Chateauroux 24 6 7 11 -16 25
17 Niort 24 5 7 12 -8 22
18 Le Mans 24 6 3 15 -14 21
19 Paris FC 24 5 6 13 -18 21
20 Orleans 24 3 7 14 -17 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,67
U
2,76
B ✓
2,99
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,63
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.