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Coupe de France
Referee: F Benchabane
Toulouse Métropole
1–4
Full-time
Ajaccio
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dijon 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Vitré 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Olympique d'Alès 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Laval 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Thionville Lusitanos 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Orleans 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Quevilly Rouen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Bergerac 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Romorantin 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Villers Houlgate CF 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Chambly Thelle FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Lyon Duchere 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Métropole Troyenne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Castanet 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Caen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Revel 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Sarreguemines 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Martigues 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Dinan Léhon 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Nimes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Valenciennes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Biesheim 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Hauts Lyonnais 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Angers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Pontivy GSI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Furiani-Agliani 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 St-Philbert Gd Lieu 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Entente S St Gratien 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Entente Itancourt-Neu. 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Dieppe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Thaon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Louhans-Cuiseaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Feurs 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Saint-Priest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Epinal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Coulaines 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Plessis Robinson 92 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 AG Caennaise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Cannes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 RC Calais 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Mulhouse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Libourne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Paimpol 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Racing Colombes 92 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 JS Douvres 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Chambéry 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 Sarre Union 1 1 0 0 +1 3
58 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
59 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +1 3
60 Angoulême 1 1 0 0 +1 3
61 Union Cosnoise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
62 Feignies-Aulnoye 1 1 0 0 +1 3
63 Saint-Meziery 1 1 0 0 +1 3
64 Blagnac 1 1 0 0 +1 3
65 Pontarlier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
66 Fleury 91 1 1 0 0 +1 3
67 Villenave 1 1 0 0 +1 3
68 Panazol 1 1 0 0 +1 3
69 Stade Mayennais 1 1 0 0 +1 3
70 Stade Briochin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Guingamp 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Villejuif 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
76 Thonon Évian 1 0 1 0 +0 1
77 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
78 Fabrègues 1 0 1 0 +0 1
79 Squadra Valincu ARR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
80 Nœux-les-Mines 1 0 1 0 +0 1
81 Avoine OCC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Stade Plabennec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Challans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Reims Sainte-Anne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Canet Roussillon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Bordeaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Saint-Omer 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Saint-Denis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Limonest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Domerat 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Auxerre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Chaponnay-Marennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Forbach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Geispolsheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Croix Football IC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Dives-Cabourg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Schweighouse s/Moder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -1 0
102 Jura Sud Foot 1 0 0 1 -1 0
103 Mâcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
104 Espaly-Saint-Marcel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
105 Roche Saint-Genest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
106 Avranches 1 0 0 1 -1 0
107 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
108 Villefranche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
109 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
110 Brissac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
111 Fos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
112 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 0 1 -1 0
113 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
114 Longueau 1 0 0 1 -1 0
115 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
116 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
117 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 Flers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 US Laon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Choisy au Bac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Volvic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 APM Metz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Vierzon FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Colmar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Torcy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Isle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Morlaas Est-Bearn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Aunis Avenir 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Jarville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
136 Velay 1 0 0 1 -2 0
137 TA Rennes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
138 Roannais Foot 1 0 0 1 -2 0
139 Haguenau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
140 Villerupt Thil 1 0 0 1 -2 0
141 Neuville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
142 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
143 Plougastel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
144 Noisy-le-Sec 1 0 0 1 -2 0
145 Le Poiré sur Vie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Seyssins 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Saint-Michel 91 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Camon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
149 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
150 Le Quesnoy 1 0 0 1 -3 0
151 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
152 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
153 Loon-Plage 1 0 0 1 -3 0
154 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 0 0 1 -3 0
155 Liffré 1 0 0 1 -3 0
156 St-Aubin Guérande 1 0 0 1 -3 0
157 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -4 0
158 Lavernose Lherm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
159 Montdidier 1 0 0 1 -4 0
160 Montlouis 1 0 0 1 -4 0
161 Auch 1 0 0 1 -4 0
162 FC Equeurdreville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
163 Rosador 1 0 0 1 -5 0
164 Provin 1 0 0 1 -5 0
165 Doullens 1 0 0 1 -6 0
166 Châteaugiron 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
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O2,5 ✓
–
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U2,5
–
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O3,5 ✓
–
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U3,5
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

F Benchabane · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.