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Ligue 2

Referee: O Thual

Concarneau

T S T S U

2–1

Full-time

Ajaccio

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Concarneau Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

27%

36%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

27%

36%

Both score Ø 27%

27%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

4 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Concarneau 15. · Ajaccio 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	11	8	1	2	+7	25
2	Angers	11	7	2	2	+9	23
3	Auxerre	11	6	4	1	+13	22
4	Grenoble	11	5	6	0	+7	21
5	St Etienne	11	6	3	2	+5	21
6	Rodez	12	5	4	3	+4	19
7	Ajaccio	11	4	5	2	+0	17
8	Guingamp	11	4	4	3	+6	16
9	Pau FC	11	4	3	4	-2	15
10	Amiens	11	4	3	4	-3	15
11	Caen	11	4	2	5	+3	14
12	Bordeaux	12	3	4	5	-6	13
13	Annecy	11	2	6	3	-2	12
14	Bastia	11	3	3	5	-6	12
15	Concarneau	11	3	3	5	-6	12
16	Paris FC	11	3	1	7	-4	10
17	Troyes	11	1	6	4	-2	9
18	Valenciennes	11	1	5	5	-8	8
19	Quevilly Rouen	11	1	4	6	-5	7
20	Dunkerque	11	1	3	7	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	6	5	0	1	+4	15
2	Angers	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Rodez	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Ajaccio	6	3	3	0	+5	12
5	Grenoble	6	3	3	0	+5	12
6	Amiens	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Pau FC	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Guingamp	6	2	3	1	+6	9
9	Bastia	5	3	0	2	-1	9
10	Auxerre	5	2	2	1	+5	8
11	St Etienne	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Bordeaux	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Caen	6	2	1	3	+2	7
14	Annecy	6	1	4	1	+0	7
15	Paris FC	5	2	0	3	+1	6
16	Troyes	5	1	2	2	+0	5
17	Concarneau	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Quevilly Rouen	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Dunkerque	6	0	2	4	-5	2
20	Valenciennes	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	6	4	2	0	+8	14
2	St Etienne	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	Laval	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Grenoble	5	2	3	0	+2	9
5	Angers	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Caen	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Guingamp	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Concarneau	6	2	1	3	-4	7
9	Rodez	6	1	3	2	-2	6
10	Valenciennes	6	1	3	2	-3	6
11	Quevilly Rouen	6	1	2	3	-2	5
12	Annecy	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Pau FC	6	1	2	3	-5	5
14	Ajaccio	5	1	2	2	-5	5
15	Bordeaux	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Troyes	6	0	4	2	-2	4
17	Paris FC	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Dunkerque	5	1	1	3	-5	4
19	Amiens	5	1	1	3	-5	4
20	Bastia	6	0	3	3	-5	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.