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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
Bastia
S U S S T
3–0
Full-time
Annecy
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Annecy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 39%
47%
30%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
30%
43%
Both score Ø 37%
33%
40%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

61% Possession 39%
14 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 5. · Annecy 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 30 16 13 1 +26 61
2 Bordeaux 31 16 8 7 +16 56
3 Metz 31 15 10 6 +21 55
4 Sochaux 30 15 7 8 +23 52
5 Bastia 30 14 6 10 +1 48
6 Grenoble 30 13 8 9 +5 47
7 Caen 30 12 10 8 +5 46
8 St Etienne 30 11 9 10 +2 42
9 Quevilly Rouen 30 11 9 10 +1 42
10 Paris FC 30 11 7 12 -2 40
11 Amiens 30 11 7 12 -5 40
12 Guingamp 30 10 9 11 -2 39
13 Annecy 30 9 9 12 -7 36
14 Rodez 30 8 10 12 -8 34
15 Pau FC 30 8 10 12 -10 34
16 Valenciennes 30 7 12 11 -8 33
17 Laval 30 9 4 17 -12 31
18 Dijon 30 7 8 15 -10 29
19 Nimes 30 8 5 17 -12 29
20 Niort 30 7 5 18 -24 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Oct -22 Annecy – Bastia 0–2

Match report

Bastia Annecy
1–0 F. Magri
K. Kaïboué
1′
2–0 K. Djoco
12′
3–0 B. Santelli
F. Magri
31′
Half-time 3–0
63′
🔁 B. Mendy
↦ A. Temanfo
63′
🔁 N. Falconnier
↦ Y. Demoncy
63′
🔁 I. Baldé
↦ K. Faradé
65′
🟨 Kevin Mouanga
Y. Baï 🔁
↦ F. Magri
67′
70′
🟨 Nathan Falconnier
76′
🔁 M. El Jaouhari
↦ J. Rocchi
J. Sainati 🔁
↦ K. Kaïboué
84′
F. Bohnert 🔁
↦ K. Van Den Kerkhof
85′
C. Vincent 🔁
↦ B. Santelli
85′
90′
🔁 Z. Bengueddoudj
↦ K. Testud
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Bastia

3-4-2-1
30 J. Placide G
23 L. Palun D
25 A. N'Diaye D
20 K. Kaïboué D
22 K. Van Den Kerkhof M
13 T. Ducrocq M
10 S. Salles-Lamonge M
42 Dylan Tavares M
9 B. Santelli F
39 K. Djoco F
11 F. Magri F
Bench (7)
96 Y. Baï
28 J. Sainati
15 F. Bohnert
7 C. Vincent
6 D. Guidi
4 A. Roncaglia
1 Z. Boucher

Coach: R. Brouard

Annecy

4-3-3
1 F. Escales G
3 A. Temanfo D
6 F. Lajugie D
14 K. Mouanga D
13 G. Jean D
17 V. Pajot M
24 Y. Demoncy M
11 J. Rocchi M
12 K. Testud F
10 K. Faradé F
27 S. Shamal F
Bench (7)
4 B. Mendy
46 N. Falconnier
7 I. Baldé
18 M. El Jaouhari
33 Z. Bengueddoudj
21 H. Camara
16 T. Callens

Coach: L. Guyot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
3,45
B
4,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.