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Ligue 2

Referee: K Abed

Bastia

T S U T T

1–4

Full-time

Pau FC

S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Pau FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 29%

29%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 10

4 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

10 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 13. · Pau FC 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	7	5	1	1	+5	16
2	Grenoble	7	3	4	0	+4	13
3	Amiens	7	4	1	2	+1	13
4	Caen	6	4	0	2	+7	12
5	Auxerre	7	3	3	1	+5	12
6	Rodez	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Angers	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	St Etienne	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Guingamp	7	3	1	3	+5	10
10	Annecy	7	2	4	1	+3	10
11	Bordeaux	6	3	1	2	-1	10
12	Ajaccio	7	2	3	2	-4	9
13	Bastia	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	-4	8
15	Troyes	7	1	4	2	+0	7
16	Paris FC	7	2	0	5	-3	6
17	Dunkerque	7	1	3	3	-4	6
18	Valenciennes	7	1	3	3	-6	6
19	Concarneau	7	1	2	4	-6	5
20	Quevilly Rouen	7	0	2	5	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	4	4	0	0	+4	12
2	Amiens	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Angers	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Grenoble	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Pau FC	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Guingamp	3	2	0	1	+6	6
7	Paris FC	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Caen	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	Rodez	3	2	0	1	+3	6
10	Bastia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Bordeaux	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Ajaccio	4	1	3	0	+1	6
13	Annecy	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Troyes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
15	St Etienne	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Auxerre	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Dunkerque	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Concarneau	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Quevilly Rouen	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Valenciennes	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	St Etienne	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	Caen	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Annecy	3	1	2	0	+3	5
5	Grenoble	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Rodez	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Valenciennes	4	1	2	1	-2	5
8	Laval	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Guingamp	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Dunkerque	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Troyes	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Concarneau	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Angers	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Ajaccio	3	1	0	2	-5	3
17	Bastia	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Quevilly Rouen	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	Pau FC	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Paris FC	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.