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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Angers
U U S S T
2–0
Full-time
Bastia
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Angers 12. · Bastia 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 6 4 1 1 +4 13
2 Caen 6 4 0 2 +7 12
3 Auxerre 7 3 3 1 +5 12
4 Amiens 6 4 0 2 +1 12
5 Guingamp 6 3 1 2 +6 10
6 Grenoble 6 2 4 0 +3 10
7 Bordeaux 6 3 1 2 -1 10
8 Rodez 6 2 2 2 +2 8
9 Bastia 6 2 2 2 +0 8
10 St Etienne 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Pau FC 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Angers 6 2 2 2 -1 8
13 Troyes 7 1 4 2 +0 7
14 Annecy 6 1 4 1 +0 7
15 Paris FC 6 2 0 4 -2 6
16 Dunkerque 6 1 3 2 -3 6
17 Ajaccio 6 1 3 2 -5 6
18 Concarneau 6 1 2 3 -5 5
19 Valenciennes 6 1 2 3 -6 5
20 Quevilly Rouen 6 0 2 4 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Bastia
1–0 P. Capelle
Z. Ferhat
29′
41′
🟨 Romaric Yapi
Half-time 1–0
56′
🔁 F. Conte
↦ I. Dramé
63′
🟨 Cheick Keita
65′
🔁 K. Djoco
↦ M. Alfarela
65′
🔁 C. Vincent
↦ J. Maggiotti
F. El Melali 🔁
↦ I. Niane
72′
J. Lopy 🔁
↦ Z. Ould Khaled
72′
Pierrick Capelle 🟨
73′
L. Rao-Lisoa 🔁
↦ Z. Ferhat
78′
79′
🔁 S. Lega
↦ B. Santelli
J. Bahoya 🔁
↦ H. Abdelli
92′
94′
🟨 Romaric Yapi
94′
🟥 Romaric Yapi
2–0 J. Bahoya
L. Rao-Lisoa
97′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Angers

4-4-2
30 Y. Fofana G
2 Y. Valery D
25 A. Bamba D
22 C. Hountondji D
21 J. Lefort D
20 Z. Ferhat M
12 Z. Ould Khaled M
15 P. Capelle M
10 H. Abdelli M
7 I. Niane F
9 L. Diony F
Bench (7)
28 F. El Melali
8 J. Lopy
27 L. Rao-Lisoa
24 J. Bahoya
16 M. Zinga
26 F. Hanin
23 A. Hunou

Coach: A. Dujeux

Bastia

3-5-2
23 J. Fabri G
95 C. Keita D
5 I. Dramé D
15 F. Bohnert D
27 R. Yapi M
8 J. Maggiotti M
13 T. Ducrocq M
11 D. Liénard M
42 Dylan Tavares M
10 M. Alfarela F
9 B. Santelli F
Bench (7)
31 F. Conte
39 K. Djoco
7 C. Vincent
91 S. Lega
25 B. Mbaye
66 J. Janneh
1 Z. Boucher

Coach: R. Brouard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,98
U
3,36
B
3,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.