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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Ajaccio
U T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Rodez
U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
0,2
1,2
Conceded
2,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
19 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
7 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ajaccio Rodez
6′
L. Rajot 0–1
C. Dépres
18′
🟨 Ahmad Toure Ngouyamsa
27′
🟨 Wilitty Younoussa
Half-time 0–1
48′
🔁 L. Buadés
↦ É. Vandenabeele
1–1 Y. Touzghar
C. Bayala
50′
63′
🔁 K. Corredor
↦ C. Dépres
64′
🔁 G. Haag
↦ A. Ngouyamsa
J. Benhaim Casanova 🔁
↦ R. Nouri
67′
M. El Idrissy 🔁
↦ Y. Bammou
74′
M. Alphonse 🔁
↦ S. Quemper
74′
76′
🟨 Abdel Hakim Abdallah
M. Puch-Herrantz 🔁
↦ V. Marchetti
81′
84′
🔁 W. Taïbi
↦ A. Valério
84′
🔁 Joseph Mendes
↦ A. Hountondji
Mohamed Youssouf 🟨
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ajaccio

4-2-3-1
1 M. Michel G
20 M. Youssouf D
77 F. Mayembo D
15 C. Vidal D
3 S. Quemper D
8 V. Marchetti M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
14 C. Bayala M
9 Y. Touzghar M
5 R. Nouri M
10 Y. Bammou F
Bench (7)
22 J. Benhaim Casanova
7 M. El Idrissy
2 M. Alphonse
37 M. Puch-Herrantz
16 F. Sollacaro
21 C. Avinel
6 T. Mangani

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Rodez

3-5-2
16 L. Mpasi G
14 B. Danger D
2 É. Vandenabeele D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
6 A. Ngouyamsa M
7 W. Younoussa M
18 A. Valério M
8 L. Rajot M
28 A. Abdallah M
25 C. Dépres F
17 A. Hountondji F
Bench (7)
19 L. Buadés
12 K. Corredor
24 G. Haag
10 W. Taïbi
11 Joseph Mendes
26 Y. Verdier
1 S. Cibois

Coach: D. Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,94
U ✓
3,10
B
4,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,67
U2,5 ✓
1,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.