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2. Bundesliga

Referee: P Alt

Hertha

T U T T S

3–1

Full-time

Karlsruhe

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 35%

31%

38%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

65%

73%

Both score Ø 69%

65%

73%

Average goals

3,1

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

14 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hertha 14. · Karlsruhe 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	27	13	10	4	+26	49
2	FC Koln	26	14	5	7	+9	47
3	Paderborn	26	12	9	5	+12	45
4	Kaiserslautern	26	12	7	7	+6	43
5	Magdeburg	26	11	9	6	+12	42
6	Hannover	26	11	9	6	+8	42
7	Elversberg	27	11	8	8	+13	41
8	Nurnberg	26	12	5	9	+7	41
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	26	11	8	7	+5	41
10	Karlsruhe	26	10	7	9	-2	37
11	Schalke 04	26	9	6	11	-3	33
12	Greuther Furth	26	9	6	11	-11	33
13	Darmstadt	27	8	7	12	+1	31
14	Hertha	26	8	5	13	-5	29
15	Preußen Münster	26	6	8	12	-7	26
16	Ulm	27	4	11	12	-6	23
17	Braunschweig	26	5	8	13	-25	23
18	Regensburg	26	4	4	18	-40	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	14	7	7	0	+22	28
2	Nurnberg	13	8	2	3	+9	26
3	Hannover	13	7	5	1	+9	26
4	FC Koln	13	7	3	3	+10	24
5	Kaiserslautern	13	6	5	2	+9	23
6	Paderborn	13	7	2	4	+8	23
7	Elversberg	14	7	2	5	+5	23
8	Karlsruhe	13	6	3	4	+2	21
9	Darmstadt	13	5	4	4	+8	19
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	5	4	5	-1	19
11	Greuther Furth	13	5	3	5	-4	18
12	Schalke 04	13	5	2	6	-2	17
13	Braunschweig	13	4	4	5	-4	16
14	Regensburg	13	4	3	6	-8	15
15	Ulm	13	3	4	6	+0	13
16	Preußen Münster	13	3	4	6	-2	13
17	Magdeburg	13	2	7	4	-3	13
18	Hertha	12	2	2	8	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	13	9	2	2	+15	29
2	FC Koln	13	7	2	4	-1	23
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	6	4	2	+6	22
4	Paderborn	13	5	7	1	+4	22
5	Hamburg	13	6	3	4	+4	21
6	Hertha	14	6	3	5	+2	21
7	Kaiserslautern	13	6	2	5	-3	20
8	Elversberg	13	4	6	3	+8	18
9	Schalke 04	13	4	4	5	-1	16
10	Hannover	13	4	4	5	-1	16
11	Karlsruhe	13	4	4	5	-4	16
12	Nurnberg	13	4	3	6	-2	15
13	Greuther Furth	13	4	3	6	-7	15
14	Preußen Münster	13	3	4	6	-5	13
15	Darmstadt	14	3	3	8	-7	12
16	Ulm	14	1	7	6	-6	10
17	Braunschweig	13	1	4	8	-21	7
18	Regensburg	13	0	1	12	-32	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.