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2. Bundesliga

Referee: B Dankert

Karlsruhe

T S U S U

3–2

Full-time

Hertha

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

4,7

Scored

2,3

2,8

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 40%

38%

41%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

69%

79%

Both score Ø 66%

62%

69%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

2,0

2,1

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%

9 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karlsruhe 7. · Hertha 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	30	19	4	7	+26	61
2	St Pauli	29	16	9	4	+22	57
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	30	16	7	7	+29	55
4	Hamburg	30	14	7	9	+13	49
5	Hannover	29	11	12	6	+15	45
6	Hertha	29	12	8	9	+12	44
7	Karlsruhe	29	11	10	8	+15	43
8	Paderborn	30	12	7	11	-3	43
9	Greuther Furth	30	12	6	12	-3	42
10	Elversberg	30	11	7	12	-8	40
11	Nurnberg	30	10	7	13	-18	37
12	Schalke 04	30	10	6	14	-10	36
13	Braunschweig	30	10	4	16	-8	34
14	Magdeburg	29	8	9	12	-6	33
15	Wehen	30	8	8	14	-9	32
16	Hansa Rostock	29	9	4	16	-21	31
17	Kaiserslautern	30	8	6	16	-13	30
18	Osnabruck	30	5	9	16	-33	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	15	9	5	1	+17	32
2	Hamburg	15	10	0	5	+13	30
3	Greuther Furth	15	9	3	3	+11	30
4	Karlsruhe	15	8	5	2	+17	29
5	Holstein Kiel	15	9	1	5	+9	28
6	Hannover	14	7	6	1	+16	27
7	Schalke 04	15	8	3	4	+9	27
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	8	3	4	+8	27
9	Hertha	15	7	5	3	+19	26
10	Magdeburg	15	6	4	5	+4	22
11	Braunschweig	15	6	4	5	+3	22
12	Kaiserslautern	15	6	2	7	-3	20
13	Hansa Rostock	14	6	2	6	-3	20
14	Paderborn	15	5	4	6	-2	19
15	Elversberg	15	5	4	6	-4	19
16	Nurnberg	15	5	4	6	-8	19
17	Wehen	14	4	5	5	-3	17
18	Osnabruck	15	3	5	7	-10	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	15	10	3	2	+17	33
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	8	4	3	+21	28
3	St Pauli	14	7	4	3	+5	25
4	Paderborn	15	7	3	5	-1	24
5	Elversberg	15	6	3	6	-4	21
6	Hamburg	15	4	7	4	+0	19
7	Hannover	15	4	6	5	-1	18
8	Hertha	14	5	3	6	-7	18
9	Nurnberg	15	5	3	7	-10	18
10	Wehen	16	4	3	9	-6	15
11	Karlsruhe	14	3	5	6	-2	14
12	Braunschweig	15	4	0	11	-11	12
13	Greuther Furth	15	3	3	9	-14	12
14	Magdeburg	14	2	5	7	-10	11
15	Hansa Rostock	15	3	2	10	-18	11
16	Kaiserslautern	15	2	4	9	-10	10
17	Osnabruck	15	2	4	9	-23	10
18	Schalke 04	15	2	3	10	-19	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.