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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Willenborg
Paderborn
S U S U S
1–2
Full-time
FC Koln
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 50%
46%
54%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
58%
54%
Both score Ø 58%
65%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
23 Shots 18
8 Shots on target 7
9 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 6
14 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paderborn 3. · FC Koln 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 27 13 10 4 +26 49
2 FC Koln 26 14 5 7 +9 47
3 Paderborn 26 12 9 5 +12 45
4 Kaiserslautern 26 12 7 7 +6 43
5 Magdeburg 26 11 9 6 +12 42
6 Hannover 26 11 9 6 +8 42
7 Elversberg 27 11 8 8 +13 41
8 Nurnberg 26 12 5 9 +7 41
9 Fortuna Dusseldorf 26 11 8 7 +5 41
10 Karlsruhe 26 10 7 9 -2 37
11 Schalke 04 26 9 6 11 -3 33
12 Greuther Furth 26 9 6 11 -11 33
13 Darmstadt 27 8 7 12 +1 31
14 Hertha 26 8 5 13 -5 29
15 Preußen Münster 26 6 8 12 -7 26
16 Ulm 27 4 11 12 -6 23
17 Braunschweig 26 5 8 13 -25 23
18 Regensburg 26 4 4 18 -40 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paderborn FC Koln
7′
🟨 Marvin Schwäbe
Raphael Obermair
penalty missed
25′
1–0 M. Mehlem
F. Bilbija
34′
42′
I. Rondić 1–1
Half-time 1–1
Filip Bilbija 🟨
51′
61′
D. Huseinbašić 1–2
L. Waldschmidt
A. Grimaldi 🔁
↦ C. Terho
62′
M. Hansen 🔁
↦ F. Bilbija
63′
Sven Michel 🟨
68′
S. Klaas 🔁
↦ M. Mehlem
71′
74′
🔁 F. Kainz
↦ D. Huseinbašić
I. Ansah 🔁
↦ F. Götze
79′
81′
🔁 S. Tigges
↦ T. Lemperle
81′
🔁 N. Telle
↦ J. Thielmann
90′
🔁 M. Özkan
↦ M. Finkgräfe
Manuel Riemann 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Paderborn

3-4-1-2
1 M. Riemann G
25 T. Scheller D
20 F. Götze D
33 M. Hoffmeier D
23 R. Obermair M
7 F. Bilbija M
5 S. Castañeda M
32 A. Zehnter M
6 M. Mehlem F
24 C. Terho F
11 S. Michel F
Bench (9)
39 A. Grimaldi
22 M. Hansen
26 S. Klaas
29 I. Ansah
42 K. Krumme
21 A. Bäuerle
19 L. Herrmann
30 M. Schubert
43 M. Ens

Coach: L. Kwasniok

FC Koln

3-4-1-2
1 M. Schwäbe G
2 J. Schmied D
6 E. Martel D
17 L. Paqarada D
29 J. Thielmann M
47 M. Olesen M
8 D. Huseinbašić M
35 M. Finkgräfe M
9 L. Waldschmidt F
27 I. Rondić F
19 T. Lemperle F
Bench (9)
11 F. Kainz
21 S. Tigges
49 N. Telle
30 M. Özkan
26 A. Racioppi
46 E. Kujović
16 M. Obuz
39 O. Schmitt
13 M. Uth

Coach: G. Struber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U
3,43
B ✓
3,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.