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Süper Lig

Referee: O Ergün

Sivasspor

T U T S T

5–1

Full-time

Ad. Demirspor

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Ad. Demirspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 27/26 matches

Win Ø 17%

26%

Points per game

1,0

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

56%

65%

Both score Ø 57%

56%

58%

Average goals

2,9

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,14 xG 0,55

44% Possession 56%

12 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

6 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sivasspor 17. · Ad. Demirspor 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	27	22	5	0	+41	+27.5	71
2	Fenerbahce	27	20	5	2	+42	+35.2	65
3	Samsunspor	27	15	6	6	+14	+8.8	51
4	Besiktas	26	12	8	6	+13	+14.9	44
5	Eyüpspor	27	12	8	7	+11	-0.6	44
6	Gaziantep	27	11	5	11	+0	-7.9	38
7	Goztep	26	10	7	9	+10	+14.9	37
8	Buyuksehyr	26	10	6	10	+4	+6.7	36
9	Antalyaspor	28	10	6	12	-20	-14.9	36
10	Trabzonspor	26	9	8	9	+12	-1.3	35
11	Kasimpasa	27	8	11	8	-5	-1.0	35
12	Konyaspor	28	9	7	12	-6	-8.9	34
13	Rizespor	27	10	3	14	-12	+3.8	33
14	Alanyaspor	28	8	7	13	-10	-2.6	31
15	Bodrumspor	28	8	6	14	-11	-3.0	30
16	Kayserispor	27	7	9	11	-14	-1.0	30
17	Sivasspor	27	7	6	14	-12	-15.4	27
18	Hatayspor	27	4	7	16	-22	-24.7	19
19	Ad. Demirspor	26	2	4	20	-35	-30.6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	14	11	3	0	+21	+19.5	36
2	Fenerbahce	13	11	1	1	+20	+18.7	34
3	Goztep	13	9	3	1	+19	+16.1	30
4	Gaziantep	14	9	3	2	+12	+1.5	30
5	Trabzonspor	13	8	3	2	+17	+5.4	27
6	Eyüpspor	13	8	3	2	+12	+3.6	27
7	Antalyaspor	14	8	3	3	+1	-1.7	27
8	Samsunspor	13	8	2	3	+10	+11.9	26
9	Besiktas	13	8	2	3	+7	+9.6	26
10	Buyuksehyr	14	7	4	3	+13	+8.9	25
11	Konyaspor	14	6	5	3	+4	+1.8	23
12	Alanyaspor	13	6	3	4	+3	+5.9	21
13	Sivasspor	14	5	5	4	+3	-5.5	20
14	Kayserispor	14	5	4	5	-2	+3.3	19
15	Bodrumspor	14	5	3	6	+1	-0.8	18
16	Rizespor	13	5	3	5	-1	+9.2	18
17	Kasimpasa	13	4	5	4	-2	+3.6	17
18	Hatayspor	14	3	5	6	-5	-8.0	14
19	Ad. Demirspor	13	1	2	10	-19	-12.4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	11	2	0	+20	+8.0	35
2	Fenerbahce	14	9	4	1	+22	+16.5	31
3	Samsunspor	14	7	4	3	+4	-3.1	25
4	Besiktas	13	4	6	3	+6	+5.3	18
5	Kasimpasa	14	4	6	4	-3	-4.6	18
6	Eyüpspor	14	4	5	5	-1	-4.2	17
7	Rizespor	14	5	0	9	-11	-5.3	15
8	Bodrumspor	14	3	3	8	-12	-2.2	12
9	Buyuksehyr	12	3	2	7	-9	-2.2	11
10	Konyaspor	14	3	2	9	-10	-10.7	11
11	Kayserispor	13	2	5	6	-12	-4.3	11
12	Alanyaspor	15	2	4	9	-13	-8.5	10
13	Antalyaspor	14	2	3	9	-21	-13.2	9
14	Trabzonspor	13	1	5	7	-5	-6.7	8
15	Gaziantep	13	2	2	9	-12	-9.4	8
16	Goztep	13	1	4	8	-9	-1.1	7
17	Sivasspor	13	2	1	10	-15	-9.9	7
18	Ad. Demirspor	13	1	2	10	-16	-18.3	5
19	Hatayspor	13	1	2	10	-17	-16.7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.