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Serie B
Referee: V Crezzini
Cremonese
U T U S S
2–2
Full-time
Cittadella
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
This season — Serie B · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 37%
43%
30%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
53%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

75% Possession 25%
16 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 4. · Cittadella 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 30 21 6 3 +35 69
2 Pisa 31 18 7 6 +22 61
3 Spezia 31 14 13 4 +22 55
4 Cremonese 30 13 9 8 +15 48
5 Catanzaro 31 10 16 5 +8 46
6 Juve Stabia 30 11 10 9 +0 43
7 Cesena 30 11 9 10 +2 42
8 Bari 30 8 16 6 +4 40
9 Palermo 30 10 9 11 +5 39
10 Modena 31 8 14 9 +1 38
11 Frosinone 31 8 12 11 -11 36
12 Brescia 31 7 13 11 -6 34
13 Sudtirol 31 9 7 15 -10 34
14 Cittadella 30 9 7 14 -20 34
15 Mantova 31 7 12 12 -10 33
16 Carrarese 30 8 9 13 -10 33
17 Reggiana 30 7 11 12 -6 32
18 Sampdoria 31 6 14 11 -10 32
19 Salernitana 30 7 9 14 -12 30
20 Cosenza 31 6 11 14 -19 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Cittadella
38′
O. Okwonkwo 0–1
Half-time 0–2
46′
S. Rabbi 0–2
O. Okwonkwo
54′
🟨 Simone Rabbi
M. Valoti 🔁
↦ J. Vandeputte
55′
M. Nasti 🔁
↦ Paulo Azzi
55′
55′
🔁 J. Desogus
↦ O. Okwonkwo
Luca Ravanelli 🟨
61′
61′
🔁 F. Amatucci
↦ S. Tronchin
L. Zanimacchia 🔁
↦ T. Barbieri
72′
C. Pickel 🔁
↦ M. Collocolo
72′
1–2 M. Valoti
73′
2–2 C. Pickel
D. Johnsen
75′
76′
🔁 E. Matino
↦ E. Masciangelo
77′
🔁 D. Diaw
↦ S. Rabbi
Marco Nasti 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-4-2-1
1 A. Fulignati G
23 F. Ceccherini D
5 L. Ravanelli D
15 M. Bianchetti D
4 T. Barbieri M
18 M. Collocolo M
19 M. Castagnetti M
7 Paulo Azzi M
11 D. Johnsen F
27 J. Vandeputte F
9 M. De Luca F
Bench (11)
8 M. Valoti
99 M. Nasti
98 L. Zanimacchia
6 C. Pickel
14 F. Gelli
42 L. Moretti
55 F. Folino
30 J. Tånnander
26 V. Antov
90 F. Bonazzoli
12 G. Drago

Coach: G. Stroppa

Cittadella

3-5-1-1
36 E. Kastrati G
2 A. Salvi D
13 E. Capradossi D
24 L. Carissoni D
19 F. D'Alessio M
16 A. Vita M
17 S. Tronchin M
37 R. Palmieri M
32 E. Masciangelo M
21 S. Rabbi F
31 O. Okwonkwo F
Bench (10)
11 J. Desogus
8 F. Amatucci
6 E. Matino
9 D. Diaw
18 A. Tessiore
78 L. Maniero
35 S. Piccinini
20 D. Voltan
7 L. Pandolfi
5 F. Casolari

Coach: A. Dal Canto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,39
U ✓
4,51
B
7,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

V Crezzini · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.