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Serie A
Referee: M Mariani
Como
S S T U T
1–1
Full-time
Empoli
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 19%
24%
14%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
48%
41%
Both score Ø 59%
66%
52%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,94 xG 1,68
71% Possession 29%
16 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Como 13. · Empoli 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 29 19 7 3 +38 +29.1 64
2 Napoli 29 18 7 4 +22 +19.4 61
3 Atalanta 29 17 7 5 +35 +22.6 58
4 Bologna 29 14 11 4 +15 +12.3 53
5 Juventus 29 13 13 3 +17 +12.5 52
6 Lazio 29 15 6 8 +9 +11.6 51
7 Roma 29 14 7 8 +14 +9.8 49
8 Fiorentina 29 14 6 9 +16 +4.8 48
9 Milan 29 13 8 8 +11 +17.1 47
10 Udinese 29 11 7 11 -4 -7.2 40
11 Torino 29 9 11 9 +0 -13.7 38
12 Genoa 29 8 11 10 -9 -6.3 35
13 Como 29 7 8 14 -11 +0.5 29
14 Verona 29 9 2 18 -29 -16.8 29
15 Cagliari 29 6 8 15 -16 -11.9 26
16 Parma 29 5 10 14 -14 -14.4 25
17 Lecce 29 6 7 16 -27 -20.0 25
18 Empoli 29 4 10 15 -23 -14.8 22
19 Venezia 29 3 11 15 -19 -17.8 20
20 Monza 29 2 9 18 -25 -16.7 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Nov -24 Empoli – Como 1–0

Match report

Como Empoli
12′
🟨 Saba Goglichidze
Edoardo Goldaniga 🟨
25′
Sergi Roberto 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–0
M. Perrone 🔁
↦ Sergi Roberto
46′
T. Douvikas 🔁
↦ P. Cutrone
56′
Álex Valle 🔁
↦ Alberto Moreno
56′
58′
🔁 J. Fazzini
↦ M. Viti
1–0 T. Douvikas
M. Vojvoda
61′
67′
🟨 Giuseppe Pezzella
69′
🟨 Liam Henderson
70′
🔁 L. Colombo
↦ S. Esposito
70′
🔁 O. Solbakken
↦ S. Goglichidze
71′
🔁 J. Bacci
↦ L. Henderson
75′
C. Kouamé 1–1
G. Pezzella
J. Ikoné 🔁
↦ Gabriel Strefezza
78′
83′
🟨 Alberto Grassi
84′
🟨 Emmanuel Gyasi
86′
🔁 M. De Sciglio
↦ E. Gyasi
A. Gabrielloni 🔁
↦ M. Caqueret
87′
92′
🟥 Jacopo Fazzini
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Como

4-2-3-1
30 J. Butez G
31 M. Vojvoda D
5 E. Goldaniga D
2 M. Kempf D
18 Alberto Moreno D
20 Sergi Roberto M
33 L. da Cunha M
7 Gabriel Strefezza M
80 M. Caqueret M
38 Assane Diao M
10 P. Cutrone F
Bench (15)
23 M. Perrone
11 T. Douvikas
41 Álex Valle
19 J. Ikoné
9 A. Gabrielloni
26 Y. Engelhardt
16 A. Fadera
15 F. Jack
77 I. Van der Brempt
6 A. Iovine
22 M. Vigorito
27 M. Braunöder
25 Pepe Reina
90 Iván Azón
28 I. Smolčić

Coach: Cesc Fàbregas

Empoli

3-4-2-1
23 D. Vásquez G
2 S. Goglichidze D
35 L. Marianucci D
21 M. Viti D
11 E. Gyasi M
5 A. Grassi M
6 L. Henderson M
3 G. Pezzella M
99 S. Esposito F
13 L. Cacace F
18 C. Kouamé F
Bench (14)
10 J. Fazzini
29 L. Colombo
17 O. Solbakken
36 J. Bacci
22 M. De Sciglio
24 T. Ebuehi
20 V. Kovalenko
12 J. Seghetti
90 I. Konate
98 F. Brancolini
1 M. Silvestri
89 T. Campaniello
7 J. Sambia
31 L. Tosto

Coach: R. D'Aversa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,76
U ✓
3,41
B
5,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.