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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Prigan
Darmstadt
T T T S T
3–0
Full-time
Karlsruhe
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Karlsruhe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
42%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
63%
75%
Both score Ø 73%
67%
79%
Average goals
3,4
3,6
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
24 Shots 7
12 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 13. · Karlsruhe 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 24 11 9 4 +20 42
2 Kaiserslautern 24 12 6 6 +8 42
3 Magdeburg 24 11 8 5 +15 41
4 Paderborn 24 11 8 5 +10 41
5 FC Koln 24 12 5 7 +7 41
6 Elversberg 24 11 6 7 +14 39
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 24 10 8 6 +7 38
8 Hannover 24 10 8 6 +7 38
9 Karlsruhe 24 10 6 8 +1 36
10 Nurnberg 24 10 5 9 +3 35
11 Greuther Furth 24 9 5 10 -8 32
12 Schalke 04 24 8 6 10 -3 30
13 Darmstadt 24 7 7 10 +0 28
14 Hertha 24 7 5 12 -8 26
15 Preußen Münster 24 5 8 11 -7 23
16 Braunschweig 24 5 7 12 -21 22
17 Ulm 24 3 10 11 -6 19
18 Regensburg 24 4 3 17 -39 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt Karlsruhe
1–0 I. Lidberg
10′
30′
🟨 Nicolai Rapp
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Marcel Beifus
64′
🔁 L. Günther
↦ D. Herold
64′
🔁 L. Jensen
↦ C. Kobald
64′
🔁 L. Ben Farhat
↦ M. Kaufmann
L. Marseiler 🔁
↦ J. Boëtius
66′
M. Thiede 🔁
↦ Sergio López
71′
2–0 K. Corredor
I. Lidberg
73′
77′
🔁 L. Pfeiffer
↦ N. Rapp
78′
🔁 L. Egloff
↦ D. Burnić
3–0 M. Papela
K. Corredor
79′
M. Maglica 🔁
↦ F. Hornby
81′
F. Lakenmacher 🔁
↦ I. Lidberg
81′
T. Kempe 🔁
↦ A. Müller
81′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Darmstadt

4-1-3-2
1 M. Schuhen G
2 Sergio López D
38 C. Riedel D
20 A. Vukotić D
3 Guille Bueno D
21 M. Papela M
10 J. Boëtius M
16 A. Müller M
34 K. Corredor M
7 I. Lidberg F
9 F. Hornby F
Bench (8)
8 L. Marseiler
13 M. Thiede
5 M. Maglica
19 F. Lakenmacher
11 T. Kempe
14 M. Drešković
46 T. Arnold
30 A. Brunst

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Karlsruhe

3-5-2
1 M. Weiß G
22 C. Kobald D
28 M. Franke D
4 M. Beifus D
2 S. Jung M
7 D. Burnić M
17 N. Rapp M
10 M. Wanitzek M
20 D. Herold M
24 F. Schleusener F
14 M. Kaufmann F
Bench (9)
29 L. Günther
6 L. Jensen
19 L. Ben Farhat
16 L. Pfeiffer
25 L. Egloff
36 R. Pedrosa
5 R. Heußer
30 R. Himmelmann
32 R. Bormuth

Coach: C. Eichner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,98
U
3,57
B
3,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Prigan · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.