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LaLiga2
Referee: José Sánchez
Cartagena
T T T T U
2–2
Full-time
Castellon
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 24%
13%
34%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
53%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
0,6
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

29% Possession 71%
5 Shots 22
3 Shots on target 10
0 Blocked shots 6
8 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 8
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 22. · Castellon 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 32 16 11 5 +19 59
2 Mirandes 32 17 7 8 +17 58
3 Elche 32 16 9 7 +18 57
4 Santander 32 16 8 8 +13 56
5 Huesca 32 14 9 9 +14 51
6 Oviedo 32 14 9 9 +5 51
7 Almeria 32 13 11 8 +11 50
8 Granada 33 13 10 10 +8 49
9 Burgos 33 13 7 13 -5 46
10 La Coruna 33 11 12 10 +5 45
11 Cordoba 32 12 9 11 -1 45
12 Cadiz 32 11 11 10 +2 44
13 Eibar 32 12 8 12 -1 44
14 Albacete 32 11 10 11 +1 43
15 Malaga 32 9 15 8 -1 42
16 Sp Gijon 32 9 14 9 +2 41
17 Castellon 32 11 7 14 -2 40
18 Zaragoza 32 9 10 13 -2 37
19 Eldense 33 9 9 15 -13 36
20 Tenerife 33 7 7 19 -18 28
21 Ferrol 33 4 11 18 -34 23
22 Cartagena 32 4 4 24 -38 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Castellon
1–0 D. Luna
S. El Jebari
3′
11′
🟨 Álex Calatrava
Nacho Martínez 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 B. Cipenga
↦ Óscar Gil
46′
🔁 De Miguel
↦ G. Zarfino
47′
Cala 1–1
B. Cipenga
2–1 S. El Jebari
49′
Sergio Guerrero 🔁
↦ D. Luna
54′
A. Vukčević 🔁
↦ Nacho Martínez
54′
55′
T. van den Belt 2–2
R. Núñez 🔁
↦ S. El Jebari
64′
Álex Millán 🔁
↦ Alfredo Ortuño
64′
74′
🔁 M. Jojić
↦ Israel Suero
Jesús Hernández 🟨
78′
82′
🔁 N. Markanich
↦ O. Camara
D. Musto 🔁
↦ Andy Rodríguez
84′
87′
🔁 A. Lottin
↦ Cala
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cartagena

3-5-2
1 Pablo Cuñat G
28 Jesús Hernández D
4 Pedro Alcalá D
22 Kiko Olivas D
21 Julián Delmás M
32 D. Luna M
17 Andy Rodríguez M
5 A. Ndiaye M
20 Nacho Martínez M
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
33 S. El Jebari F
Bench (12)
6 Sergio Guerrero
12 A. Vukčević
38 R. Núñez
14 Álex Millán
18 D. Musto
30 J. Dick
24 N. Šipčić
10 Dani Escriche
11 Óscar Clemente
16 José Machín
29 Checo
40 Toni Fuidias

Coach: Guillermo Fernández

Castellon

4-2-3-1
13 A. Abedzadeh G
22 D. Chirino D
5 Alberto Jiménez D
14 Óscar Gil D
33 J. Vertrouwd D
2 G. Zarfino M
6 T. van den Belt M
21 Cala M
4 Israel Suero M
19 A. Mabil M
24 O. Camara F
Bench (12)
16 B. Cipenga
9 De Miguel
12 M. Jojić
20 N. Markanich
18 A. Lottin
7 Sergio Moyita
25 J. Escobar
3 M. Traoré
15 J. Willems
23 Josep Calavera
51 Gonzalo Pastor
1 G. Crettaz

Coach: J. Plat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,54
U ✓
3,61
B
1,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,81
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.