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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Bacher
Hertha
S T S S U
2–2
Full-time
Karlsruhe
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Karlsruhe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
42%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
75%
58%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 12. · Karlsruhe 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 13 7 6 0 +15 27
2 Hamburg 13 7 3 3 +9 24
3 Holstein Kiel 13 7 2 4 +2 23
4 Hannover 13 6 4 3 +11 22
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 12 6 3 3 +10 21
6 Nurnberg 13 6 3 4 +0 21
7 Elversberg 13 6 3 4 +0 21
8 Greuther Furth 12 5 3 4 +3 18
9 Kaiserslautern 12 5 3 4 +1 18
10 Wehen 12 5 3 4 +1 18
11 Paderborn 13 5 3 5 -2 18
12 Hertha 12 5 1 6 +2 16
13 Magdeburg 12 3 4 5 -1 13
14 Hansa Rostock 12 4 1 7 -6 13
15 Schalke 04 13 4 1 8 -8 13
16 Karlsruhe 12 3 3 6 -4 12
17 Braunschweig 13 2 2 9 -16 8
18 Osnabruck 13 1 4 8 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Karlsruhe
10′
D. Zeefuik 1–0
own goal
2–0 F. Reese
M. Winkler
29′
3–0 F. Niederlechner
H. Tabaković
42′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 L. Jensen
↦ P. Nebel
62′
🔁 M. Thiede
↦ D. Brosinski
62′
🔁 B. Zivzivadze
↦ F. Schleusener
64′
🟨 Leon Jensen
A. Bouchalakis 🔁
↦ M. Dárdai
70′
S. Prevljak 🔁
↦ F. Niederlechner
70′
73′
🟨 Philip Heise
81′
L. Jensen 3–1
J. Gondorf
D. Scherhant 🔁
↦ M. Winkler
85′
85′
🔁 D. Herold
↦ P. Heise
93′
🔁 D. Burnić
↦ M. Wanitzek
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
12 T. Ernst G
16 J. Kenny D
37 T. Leistner D
20 M. Kempf D
34 D. Zeefuik D
41 P. Klemens M
31 M. Dárdai M
22 M. Winkler M
7 F. Niederlechner M
11 F. Reese M
25 H. Tabaković F
Bench (9)
5 A. Bouchalakis
9 S. Prevljak
39 D. Scherhant
8 B. Hussein
44 L. Gechter
35 M. Gersbeck
2 P. Pekarík
26 G. Christensen
6 M. Karbownik

Coach: P. Dárdai

Karlsruhe

4-3-1-2
23 P. Drewes G
18 D. Brosinski D
32 R. Bormuth D
28 M. Franke D
16 P. Heise D
26 P. Nebel M
8 J. Gondorf M
10 M. Wanitzek M
13 L. Stindl M
9 I. Matanović F
24 F. Schleusener F
Bench (9)
6 L. Jensen
21 M. Thiede
11 B. Zivzivadze
20 D. Herold
15 D. Burnić
29 M. Weiß
22 C. Kobald
30 E. Öztürk
4 M. Beifus

Coach: C. Eichner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,95
U ✓
3,89
B
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,49
U2,5
2,57
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bacher · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.