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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Bauer
Hannover
S S T T U
3–2
Full-time
Ulm
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Ulm
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 32%
50%
14%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
23 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 5. · Ulm 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 15 7 6 2 +6 27
2 Elversberg 15 7 4 4 +9 25
3 Hamburg 14 6 5 3 +11 23
4 Kaiserslautern 14 6 5 3 +6 23
5 Hannover 14 7 2 5 +5 23
6 Karlsruhe 14 6 5 3 +2 23
7 FC Koln 14 6 4 4 +5 22
8 Fortuna Dusseldorf 14 6 4 4 +3 22
9 Hertha 14 6 3 5 +2 21
10 Magdeburg 14 5 6 3 +2 21
11 Darmstadt 14 5 5 4 +4 20
12 Nurnberg 15 5 4 6 +2 19
13 Schalke 04 15 4 4 7 -4 16
14 Greuther Furth 14 3 5 6 -6 14
15 Braunschweig 14 3 4 7 -11 13
16 Ulm 14 2 6 6 -3 12
17 Preußen Münster 14 2 6 6 -5 12
18 Regensburg 14 2 2 10 -28 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Ulm
23′
S. Telalović 0–1
M. Krattenmacher
Half-time 0–2
55′
S. Telalović 0–2
M. Krattenmacher
K. Oudenne 🔁
↦ S. Muroya
57′
N. Tresoldi 🔁
↦ J. Ngankam
58′
1–2 Lee Hyun-Ju
60′
65′
🔁 D. Chessa
↦ A. Keller
65′
🔁 F. Higl
↦ S. Telalović
70′
🟨 Jonathan Meier
2–2 N. Tresoldi
71′
L. Gindorf 🔁
↦ Lee Hyun-Ju
78′
80′
🔁 N. Castelle
↦ M. Krattenmacher
3–2 N. Tresoldi
81′
86′
🔁 L. Röser
↦ J. Meier
Kolja Oudenne 🟨
87′
J. Dehm 🔁
↦ B. Wdowik
91′
Phil Neumann 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Tom Gaal
Lars Gindorf 🟨
94′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Hannover

3-4-2-1
1 R. Zieler G
2 J. Knight D
23 M. Halstenberg D
5 P. Neumann D
21 S. Muroya M
8 E. Leopold M
6 F. Kunze M
17 B. Wdowik M
11 Lee Hyun-Ju F
32 A. Voglsammer F
7 J. Ngankam F
Bench (9)
29 K. Oudenne
9 N. Tresoldi
25 L. Gindorf
20 J. Dehm
30 L. Weinkauf
34 B. Westermeier
14 Husseyn Chakroun
22 L. Wallner
10 J. Rochelt

Coach: S. Leitl

Ulm

3-4-2-1
1 N. Thiede G
7 B. Allgeier D
5 J. Reichert D
4 T. Gaal D
43 R. Rösch M
38 L. Hyryläinen M
26 P. Maier M
19 J. Meier M
30 M. Krattenmacher F
16 A. Keller F
29 S. Telalović F
Bench (9)
11 D. Chessa
33 F. Higl
44 N. Castelle
9 L. Röser
23 M. Brandt
22 A. Kahvić
12 M. Seybold
10 A. Ludwig
13 J. Nelson

Coach: T. Wörle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,57
U
3,98
B
5,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,94
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Bauer · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.