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2. Bundesliga

Referee: S Stegemann

Fortuna Dusseldorf

U T U S U

2–5

Full-time

Magdeburg

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Magdeburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 41%

44%

38%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 57%

44%

69%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

38% Possession 62%

13 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 11

2 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 4. · Magdeburg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elversberg	16	8	4	4	+12	28
2	FC Koln	16	8	4	4	+8	28
3	Paderborn	16	7	7	2	+6	28
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	7	5	4	+8	26
5	Hannover	16	8	2	6	+5	26
6	Kaiserslautern	16	7	5	4	+4	26
7	Karlsruhe	16	7	5	4	+2	26
8	Hamburg	16	6	7	3	+11	25
9	Magdeburg	16	6	7	3	+3	25
10	Darmstadt	16	6	6	4	+8	24
11	Hertha	16	6	3	7	+0	21
12	Greuther Furth	16	5	5	6	-4	20
13	Nurnberg	16	5	4	7	+0	19
14	Schalke 04	16	4	5	7	-4	17
15	Preußen Münster	16	3	6	7	-5	15
16	Ulm	16	2	7	7	-4	13
17	Braunschweig	16	3	4	9	-19	13
18	Regensburg	16	2	2	12	-31	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	8	7	0	1	+9	21
2	Elversberg	8	5	1	2	+6	16
3	Hamburg	8	3	5	0	+10	14
4	FC Koln	9	4	2	3	+7	14
5	Paderborn	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Karlsruhe	8	4	2	2	+2	14
7	Darmstadt	9	3	4	2	+7	13
8	Kaiserslautern	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	Nurnberg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Braunschweig	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Greuther Furth	9	3	2	4	-6	11
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	2	3	3	+0	9
13	Schalke 04	8	2	2	4	-2	8
14	Hertha	8	2	1	5	-4	7
15	Regensburg	8	2	1	5	-10	7
16	Ulm	8	1	3	4	-2	6
17	Preußen Münster	8	1	3	4	-3	6
18	Magdeburg	8	0	6	2	-5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	8	6	1	1	+8	19
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	5	2	1	+8	17
3	Hertha	8	4	2	2	+4	14
4	Paderborn	9	3	5	1	+1	14
5	FC Koln	7	4	2	1	+1	14
6	Kaiserslautern	9	4	2	3	-1	14
7	Elversberg	8	3	3	2	+6	12
8	Karlsruhe	8	3	3	2	+0	12
9	Darmstadt	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Hamburg	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Greuther Furth	7	2	3	2	+2	9
12	Preußen Münster	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Schalke 04	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Nurnberg	9	2	2	5	-2	8
15	Ulm	8	1	4	3	-2	7
16	Hannover	8	1	2	5	-4	5
17	Braunschweig	8	0	2	6	-19	2
18	Regensburg	8	0	1	7	-21	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.