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2. Bundesliga

Referee: P Alt

Ulm

U U U U T

1–1

Full-time

Hamburg

U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ulm Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 27%

13%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

47%

80%

Both score Ø 70%

60%

80%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ulm 17. · Hamburg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	15	7	6	2	+6	27
2	Kaiserslautern	15	7	5	3	+8	26
3	Hannover	15	8	2	5	+6	26
4	Karlsruhe	16	7	5	4	+2	26
5	Elversberg	15	7	4	4	+9	25
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	7	4	4	+8	25
7	FC Koln	15	7	4	4	+6	25
8	Hamburg	15	6	6	3	+11	24
9	Magdeburg	15	6	6	3	+3	24
10	Darmstadt	15	5	6	4	+4	21
11	Hertha	16	6	3	7	+0	21
12	Nurnberg	15	5	4	6	+2	19
13	Greuther Furth	15	4	5	6	-5	17
14	Schalke 04	15	4	4	7	-4	16
15	Preußen Münster	16	3	6	7	-5	15
16	Braunschweig	15	3	4	8	-16	13
17	Ulm	15	2	6	7	-4	12
18	Regensburg	16	2	2	12	-31	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	8	7	0	1	+9	21
2	Elversberg	8	5	1	2	+6	16
3	Hamburg	8	3	5	0	+10	14
4	Paderborn	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Karlsruhe	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Kaiserslautern	7	3	3	1	+5	12
7	FC Koln	8	3	2	3	+5	11
8	Braunschweig	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Nurnberg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Darmstadt	8	2	4	2	+3	10
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	2	3	3	+0	9
12	Greuther Furth	8	2	2	4	-7	8
13	Schalke 04	7	2	1	4	-2	7
14	Hertha	8	2	1	5	-4	7
15	Regensburg	8	2	1	5	-10	7
16	Preußen Münster	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Ulm	7	1	2	4	-2	5
18	Magdeburg	7	0	5	2	-5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	8	6	1	1	+8	19
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Hertha	8	4	2	2	+4	14
4	Kaiserslautern	8	4	2	2	+3	14
5	FC Koln	7	4	2	1	+1	14
6	Paderborn	8	3	4	1	+1	13
7	Karlsruhe	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Darmstadt	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Hamburg	7	3	1	3	+1	10
10	Elversberg	7	2	3	2	+3	9
11	Greuther Furth	7	2	3	2	+2	9
12	Preußen Münster	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Schalke 04	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Nurnberg	8	2	2	4	+0	8
15	Ulm	8	1	4	3	-2	7
16	Hannover	7	1	2	4	-3	5
17	Braunschweig	8	0	2	6	-19	2
18	Regensburg	8	0	1	7	-21	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.