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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Willenborg
3–4
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Kaiserslautern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
67%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
56%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 1. · Kaiserslautern 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 6 2 1 +7 20
2 Paderborn 10 5 4 1 +5 19
3 Karlsruhe 10 5 4 1 +4 19
4 Hamburg 10 5 3 2 +11 18
5 Hertha 10 5 2 3 +3 17
6 Elversberg 10 4 4 2 +7 16
7 Magdeburg 9 4 4 1 +6 16
8 Nurnberg 10 5 1 4 +4 16
9 Hannover 9 5 1 3 +4 16
10 Greuther Furth 10 3 4 3 +0 13
11 FC Koln 10 3 3 4 +2 12
12 Kaiserslautern 9 3 3 3 +1 12
13 Darmstadt 9 2 3 4 -3 9
14 Schalke 04 10 2 2 6 -5 8
15 Ulm 9 2 1 6 -3 7
16 Braunschweig 9 2 1 6 -12 7
17 Preußen Münster 9 1 3 5 -5 6
18 Regensburg 10 1 1 8 -26 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fortuna Dusseldorf Kaiserslautern
14′
D. Hanslik 0–1
D. Yokota
34′
🟨 Julian Krahl
1–1 Í. Jóhannesson
35′
V. Vermeij 🔁
↦ D. Kownacki
38′
Half-time 1–1
49′
🟨 Jan Elvedi
2–1 M. van Brederode
V. Vermeij
49′
52′
🟨 Boris Tomiak
57′
D. Yokota 2–2
J. Zimmer
61′
R. Ache 2–3
D. Hanslik
67′
D. Hanslik 2–4
F. Kleinhansl
68′
🔁 K. Redondo
↦ A. Aremu
68′
🔁 R. Tachie
↦ R. Ache
D. Pejčinović 🔁
↦ J. Niemiec
74′
F. Klaus 🔁
↦ M. van Brederode
74′
S. Appelkamp 🔁
↦ G. Haag
74′
Felix Klaus 🟨
76′
81′
🔁 Leon Robinson
↦ B. Tomiak
81′
🔁 M. Ritter
↦ D. Yokota
Shinta Karl Appelkamp 🟨
85′
88′
🔁 E. Wekesser
↦ D. Hanslik
D. Schmidt 🔁
↦ T. Rossmann
89′
3–4 F. Klaus
Í. Jóhannesson
94′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
19 E. Iyoha D
3 A. Hoffmann D
15 T. Oberdorf D
21 T. Rossmann D
6 G. Haag M
25 M. Zimmermann M
18 J. Niemiec M
8 Í. Jóhannesson M
10 M. van Brederode M
24 D. Kownacki F
Bench (9)
9 V. Vermeij
7 D. Pejčinović
11 F. Klaus
23 S. Appelkamp
22 D. Schmidt
5 J. Quarshie
30 J. de Wijs
1 R. Kwasigroch
31 M. Sobottka

Coach: D. Thioune

Kaiserslautern

3-4-1-2
1 J. Krahl G
33 J. Elvedi D
31 L. Sirch D
24 J. Heuer D
8 J. Zimmer M
23 A. Aremu M
2 B. Tomiak M
3 F. Kleinhansl M
41 D. Yokota F
9 R. Ache F
19 D. Hanslik F
Bench (9)
11 K. Redondo
29 R. Tachie
37 Leon Robinson
7 M. Ritter
13 E. Wekesser
27 F. Ronstadt
26 F. Kaloč
20 T. Raschl
30 A. Spahić

Coach: M. Anfang

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,71
U
4,04
B ✓
4,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,30
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.