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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Storks
Nurnberg
U T T U T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 40%
29%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
43%
61%
Both score Ø 49%
36%
61%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
13 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 14. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 29 18 7 4 +21 61
2 Hamburg 29 17 5 7 +20 56
3 Heidenheim 28 15 9 4 +25 54
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 28 14 5 9 +12 47
5 St Pauli 29 13 8 8 +11 47
6 Paderborn 28 14 4 10 +20 46
7 Kaiserslautern 28 11 10 7 +6 43
8 Holstein Kiel 28 10 10 8 +2 40
9 Karlsruhe 29 11 6 12 +2 39
10 Greuther Furth 28 9 9 10 -2 36
11 Hannover 28 9 7 12 -6 34
12 Braunschweig 28 8 8 12 -11 32
13 Magdeburg 28 9 5 14 -12 32
14 Nurnberg 28 8 6 14 -17 30
15 Bielefeld 28 8 5 15 -6 29
16 Regensburg 28 7 6 15 -17 27
17 Hansa Rostock 28 7 4 17 -23 25
18 Sandhausen 28 6 6 16 -25 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,19
U
3,35
B
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Storks · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.