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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
Korona Kielce
T S S U U
2–4
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
25%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 41%
44%
38%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 12
4 Blocked shots 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Korona Kielce 15. · Gornik Zabrze 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 17 12 2 3 +20 +10.1 38
2 Rakow 17 10 5 2 +14 +9.8 35
3 Jagiellonia 16 10 3 3 +7 -0.9 33
4 Cracovia 17 9 3 5 +8 +0.0 30
5 Legia 16 8 4 4 +10 +8.6 28
6 Pogon Szczecin 16 8 1 7 +4 +6.6 25
7 Gornik Zabrze 16 7 3 6 +3 +5.3 24
8 Motor Lublin 16 7 3 6 -4 -1.1 24
9 GKS Katowice 17 6 4 7 +2 +0.5 22
10 Widzew Lodz 17 6 4 7 -2 -1.9 22
11 Piast Gliwice 17 5 6 6 +0 -3.2 21
12 Zaglebie 17 5 4 8 -8 -5.0 19
13 Stal Mielec 16 5 3 8 -4 +4.5 18
14 Puszcza 17 4 5 8 -9 -11.2 17
15 Korona Kielce 16 4 5 7 -10 -2.4 17
16 Radomiak Radom 15 5 1 9 -3 -1.7 16
17 Lechia Gdansk 17 2 5 10 -16 -16.2 11
18 Slask Wroclaw 16 1 7 8 -12 -2.0 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.