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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Grøtta
Moss
U S U S S
3–2
Full-time
Kongsvinger
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Kongsvinger
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 47%
52%
41%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
62%
66%
Both score Ø 62%
55%
69%
Average goals
3,2
3,4
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 3. · Kongsvinger 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valerenga 30 21 6 3 +51 69
2 Bryne 30 18 4 8 +21 58
3 Moss 29 15 5 9 +12 50
4 Egersund 30 14 5 11 +1 47
5 Kongsvinger 29 12 10 7 -1 46
6 Lyn 30 12 9 9 +15 45
7 Stabaek 30 12 6 12 -2 42
8 Raufoss 30 11 8 11 -1 41
9 Aalesund 30 12 4 14 -4 40
10 Ranheim 30 10 9 11 +2 39
11 Asane 30 10 7 13 -6 37
12 Start 30 9 8 13 -12 35
13 Sogndal 30 9 7 14 -6 34
14 Mjondalen 30 8 8 14 -12 32
15 Levanger 30 6 11 13 -4 29
16 Sandnes ULF 30 4 5 21 -54 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Kongsvinger
0–1 J. Grundt
own goal
7′
A. Hapnes 🟨
20′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. Pedersen
46′
52′
L. Haren 1–2
1–3 F. Holmé
own goal
56′
60′
🔁 M. Gjerstrøm
↦ H. Holter
65′
L. Haren 1–4
L. Mendy 🔁
↦ H. Krohg
72′
75′
🔁 O. Kapskarmo
↦ A. Güven
Benarfa 🔁
↦ S. Pedersen
83′
87′
🟨 J. Nilsson
87′
🔁 E. Nielsen
↦ J. Nilsson
87′
🔁 W. Ärlig
↦ J. Grundt
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. Eriksen
31 K. Harrison
5 I. Kukleci
18 S. Elmi
6 A. Håpnes
10 B. Hegland
13 M. Cassidy
9 S. Pedersen
23 N. Alexandersson
11 T. Jakobsen
16 H. Krohg
Bench (9)
17 L. Mendy
49 Benarfa
2 M. Andresen
20 A. Potur
24 João Barros
26 B. Isufi
29 K. Mayonga
12 J. Sundling
4 T. Björkström

Coach: T. Myhre

Kongsvinger

41 A. Klemensson
10 L. Gerson
2 J. Nilsson
5 F. Holmé
27 A. Dybevik
6 H. Holter
14 L. Haren
20 J. Grundt
9 A. Güven
22 L. Langrekken
11 N. Williams
Bench (9)
17 M. Gjerstrøm
32 O. Kapskarmo
19 E. Nielsen
26 W. Ärlig
1 A. Strömberg
3 R. Þorkelsson
7 E. Taylor
21 D. Lysgård
48 A. Sandstad

Coach: J. Wennberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Grøtta · 78 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.