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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Petersen

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T S S S U

3–1

Full-time

Nurnberg

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 42%

52%

32%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

55%

58%

Both score Ø 57%

58%

55%

Average goals

3,3

3,1

Scored

2,1

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%

35 Shots 15

10 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 3. · Nurnberg 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	31	18	9	4	+24	63
2	Holstein Kiel	31	19	4	8	+24	61
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	31	16	8	7	+29	56
4	Hamburg	31	15	7	9	+17	52
5	Karlsruhe	31	13	10	8	+17	49
6	Hannover	31	11	13	7	+14	46
7	Paderborn	31	13	7	11	-1	46
8	Hertha	31	12	9	10	+11	45
9	Greuther Furth	31	13	6	12	-1	45
10	Elversberg	31	11	7	13	-10	40
11	Magdeburg	31	9	10	12	-4	37
12	Schalke 04	31	10	7	14	-10	37
13	Nurnberg	31	10	7	14	-19	37
14	Braunschweig	31	10	4	17	-12	34
15	Kaiserslautern	31	9	6	16	-11	33
16	Wehen	31	8	8	15	-11	32
17	Hansa Rostock	31	9	4	18	-24	31
18	Osnabruck	31	5	10	16	-33	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	16	10	5	1	+18	35
2	Karlsruhe	16	9	5	2	+18	32
3	Hamburg	15	10	0	5	+13	30
4	Greuther Furth	15	9	3	3	+11	30
5	Schalke 04	16	8	4	4	+9	28
6	Holstein Kiel	16	9	1	6	+7	28
7	Hertha	16	7	6	3	+19	27
8	Hannover	15	7	6	2	+15	27
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	8	3	4	+8	27
10	Magdeburg	16	6	5	5	+4	23
11	Paderborn	16	6	4	6	+0	22
12	Braunschweig	16	6	4	6	-1	22
13	Kaiserslautern	15	6	2	7	-3	20
14	Hansa Rostock	15	6	2	7	-5	20
15	Elversberg	15	5	4	6	-4	19
16	Nurnberg	16	5	4	7	-9	19
17	Wehen	15	4	5	6	-5	17
18	Osnabruck	15	3	5	7	-10	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	15	10	3	2	+17	33
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	8	5	3	+21	29
3	St Pauli	15	8	4	3	+6	28
4	Paderborn	15	7	3	5	-1	24
5	Hamburg	16	5	7	4	+4	22
6	Elversberg	16	6	3	7	-6	21
7	Hannover	16	4	7	5	-1	19
8	Hertha	15	5	3	7	-8	18
9	Nurnberg	15	5	3	7	-10	18
10	Karlsruhe	15	4	5	6	-1	17
11	Wehen	16	4	3	9	-6	15
12	Greuther Furth	16	4	3	9	-12	15
13	Magdeburg	15	3	5	7	-8	14
14	Kaiserslautern	16	3	4	9	-8	13
15	Braunschweig	15	4	0	11	-11	12
16	Hansa Rostock	16	3	2	11	-19	11
17	Osnabruck	16	2	5	9	-23	11
18	Schalke 04	15	2	3	10	-19	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.