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Pro League

Referee: E Lambrechts

St Truiden

S S T S T

2–2

Full-time

Genk

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 12/10 matches

Win Ø 48%

25%

70%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

67%

80%

Both score Ø 64%

67%

60%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

2,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,60 xG 1,16

41% Possession 59%

15 Shots 23

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 11

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 11. · Genk 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	11	7	3	1	+18	+11.7	24
2	Antwerp	10	7	2	1	+17	+4.8	23
3	Genk	10	7	1	2	+9	+14.1	22
4	Anderlecht	10	5	4	1	+14	+7.7	19
5	Gent	10	5	2	3	+11	-1.5	17
6	St. Gilloise	10	3	5	2	+3	+5.7	14
7	Mechelen	11	4	2	5	+1	-1.2	14
8	Charleroi	10	4	2	4	+1	+2.3	14
9	Dender	11	3	5	3	-3	-4.6	14
10	Standard	10	4	2	4	-8	-5.8	14
11	St Truiden	12	3	3	6	-14	-4.5	12
12	Westerlo	10	3	2	5	+0	+1.2	11
13	Cercle Brugge	12	3	2	7	-13	-9.4	11
14	Kortrijk	13	3	1	9	-19	-10.0	10
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	1	6	3	-3	+2.2	9
16	Beerschot VA	12	1	4	7	-14	-12.6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	6	5	1	0	+10	+7.4	16
2	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+14	+5.5	13
3	Standard	5	4	1	0	+4	-0.6	13
4	Gent	5	4	0	1	+12	+3.3	12
5	Anderlecht	6	3	3	0	+8	+3.5	12
6	St Truiden	7	3	3	1	+1	+1.3	12
7	Club Brugge	4	3	1	0	+13	+8.8	10
8	Westerlo	6	3	1	2	+6	+7.4	10
9	Mechelen	5	3	1	1	+6	+2.2	10
10	Charleroi	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.9	10
11	St. Gilloise	4	3	0	1	+4	+5.0	9
12	Kortrijk	6	3	0	3	-1	-0.3	9
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	4	1	+1	+2.3	7
14	Cercle Brugge	5	2	1	2	-3	-2.4	7
15	Beerschot VA	6	1	3	2	-1	-4.9	6
16	Dender	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	4	2	1	+5	+2.8	14
2	Antwerp	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.7	10
3	Dender	7	2	3	2	-5	-5.2	9
4	Anderlecht	4	2	1	1	+6	+4.1	7
5	Genk	4	2	0	2	-1	+6.6	6
6	St. Gilloise	6	0	5	1	-1	+0.8	5
7	Gent	5	1	2	2	-1	-4.8	5
8	Charleroi	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.6	4
9	Mechelen	6	1	1	4	-5	-3.4	4
10	Cercle Brugge	7	1	1	5	-10	-7.0	4
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2
12	Westerlo	4	0	1	3	-6	-6.2	1
13	Standard	5	0	1	4	-12	-5.2	1
14	Beerschot VA	6	0	1	5	-13	-7.7	1
15	Kortrijk	7	0	1	6	-18	-9.7	1
16	St Truiden	5	0	0	5	-15	-5.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.