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Superligaen

Referee: J Burchardt

Vejle

T S U U T

0–3

Full-time

Midtjylland

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vejle Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 31%

56%

Points per game

0,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

63%

56%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

3,3

3,1

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,30 xG 0,99

45% Possession 55%

23 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 9

4 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vejle 12. · Midtjylland 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	17	8	6	3	+12	+9.7	30
2	FC Copenhagen	16	8	6	2	+11	+9.5	30
3	Midtjylland	16	9	3	4	+6	+3.3	30
4	Aarhus	16	7	6	3	+13	+2.9	27
5	Brondby	17	7	6	4	+9	+6.9	27
6	Nordsjaelland	16	7	5	4	+3	+4.9	26
7	Silkeborg	16	6	7	3	+6	-0.4	25
8	Viborg	17	5	6	6	+2	-2.6	21
9	Aalborg	17	4	5	8	-13	-11.1	17
10	Sonderjyske	17	4	4	9	-16	-9.0	16
11	Lyngby	17	1	7	9	-12	-4.0	10
12	Vejle	16	1	3	12	-21	-10.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	8	7	0	1	+7	+4.2	21
2	Aarhus	9	5	4	0	+12	+3.3	19
3	Nordsjaelland	9	5	4	0	+9	+5.0	19
4	FC Copenhagen	8	5	3	0	+8	+6.4	18
5	Brondby	8	4	3	1	+5	+3.3	15
6	Silkeborg	8	4	3	1	+4	+0.1	15
7	Randers FC	8	4	2	2	+6	+6.0	14
8	Viborg	8	4	2	2	+3	-2.2	14
9	Aalborg	8	3	2	3	-5	-4.4	11
10	Sonderjyske	8	2	3	3	-6	-5.0	9
11	Lyngby	9	1	4	4	-6	-0.8	7
12	Vejle	8	1	2	5	-8	-2.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	9	4	4	1	+6	+3.7	16
2	Brondby	9	3	3	3	+4	+3.6	12
3	FC Copenhagen	8	3	3	2	+3	+3.1	12
4	Silkeborg	8	2	4	2	+2	-0.5	10
5	Midtjylland	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.9	9
6	Aarhus	7	2	2	3	+1	-0.4	8
7	Viborg	9	1	4	4	-1	-0.3	7
8	Nordsjaelland	7	2	1	4	-6	-0.0	7
9	Sonderjyske	9	2	1	6	-10	-4.0	7
10	Aalborg	9	1	3	5	-8	-6.7	6
11	Lyngby	8	0	3	5	-6	-3.1	3
12	Vejle	8	0	1	7	-13	-8.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.