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Serie B
Referee: I Pezzuto
Frosinone
U U U U T
3–2
Full-time
Cesena
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Cesena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,8
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
7%
43%
Points per game
0,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
36%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
43%
64%
Average goals
1,9
3,0
Scored
0,6
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

35% Possession 65%
12 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Frosinone 20. · Cesena 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 15 10 4 1 +19 34
2 Spezia 14 8 6 0 +14 30
3 Pisa 14 8 4 2 +10 28
4 Cremonese 15 7 3 5 +6 24
5 Cesena 14 6 4 4 +4 22
6 Bari 15 4 9 2 +5 21
7 Cosenza 14 4 7 3 +0 19
8 Brescia 15 5 4 6 -2 19
9 Juve Stabia 15 4 7 4 -3 19
10 Palermo 14 4 6 4 +2 18
11 Mantova 15 4 6 5 -3 18
12 Catanzaro 15 2 11 2 +2 17
13 Sampdoria 15 4 5 6 -2 17
14 Modena 15 3 7 5 -1 16
15 Carrarese 14 4 4 6 -3 16
16 Reggiana 15 3 6 6 -4 15
17 Cittadella 15 3 5 7 -11 14
18 Salernitana 14 3 4 7 -9 13
19 Sudtirol 15 4 1 10 -13 13
20 Frosinone 14 1 7 6 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Frosinone Cesena
1–0 G. Ambrosino
L. Canotto
30′
36′
ℹ️ Simone Bastoni
VAR: Penalty confirmed
38′
Cristian Shpendi
penalty missed
38′
C. Shpendi 1–1
40′
🟨 Mirko Antonucci
2–1 L. Canotto
K. Barcella
45′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 M. Curto
↦ A. Ciofi
47′
🟨 Andrea Ciofi
Tjaš Begić 🟨
49′
55′
🟨 Raffaele Celia
3–1 R. Marchizza
61′
62′
🔁 E. Adamo
↦ S. Bastoni
62′
🔁 A. Kargbo
↦ R. Celia
G. Kvernadze 🔁
↦ T. Begić
63′
L. Garritano 🔁
↦ L. Canotto
63′
68′
🔁 E. Tavşan
↦ M. Antonucci
69′
🟨 Cristian Shpendi
F. Sene 🔁
↦ G. Ambrosino
74′
A. Oyono 🔁
↦ J. Oyono
74′
80′
M. Curto 3–2
85′
🔁 S. van Hooijdonk
↦ C. Shpendi
Full-time 3–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,94
U
3,15
B
2,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Pezzuto · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.