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Serie B
Referee: A Prontera
Palermo
S U T U U
2–0
Full-time
Spezia
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Spezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,5
This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
29%
57%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
21%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
1,9
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
0,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
19 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 10. · Spezia 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 15 10 4 1 +19 34
2 Spezia 14 8 6 0 +14 30
3 Pisa 14 8 4 2 +10 28
4 Cremonese 15 7 3 5 +6 24
5 Cesena 14 6 4 4 +4 22
6 Bari 15 4 9 2 +5 21
7 Cosenza 14 4 7 3 +0 19
8 Brescia 15 5 4 6 -2 19
9 Juve Stabia 15 4 7 4 -3 19
10 Palermo 14 4 6 4 +2 18
11 Mantova 15 4 6 5 -3 18
12 Catanzaro 15 2 11 2 +2 17
13 Sampdoria 15 4 5 6 -2 17
14 Modena 15 3 7 5 -1 16
15 Carrarese 14 4 4 6 -3 16
16 Reggiana 15 3 6 6 -4 15
17 Cittadella 15 3 5 7 -11 14
18 Salernitana 14 3 4 7 -9 13
19 Sudtirol 15 4 1 10 -13 13
20 Frosinone 14 1 7 6 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Palermo Spezia
Thomas Henry 🟨
13′
16′
🟨 Francesco Cassata
Pietro Ceccaroni 🟨
26′
26′
🟨 Salvador Ferrer
26′
🔁 N. Bertola
↦ L. Vignali
1–0 R. Baniya
P. Ceccaroni
35′
Filippo Ranocchia 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
J. Le Douaron 🔁
↦ T. Henry
46′
47′
🟨 Petko Hristov
Federico Di Francesco 🟨
52′
52′
🟨 Aleš Matějů
A. Vasić 🔁
↦ V. Verre
61′
K. Lund 🔁
↦ F. Di Francesco
61′
62′
🔁 A. Reca
↦ F. Cassata
62′
🔁 F. Bandinelli
↦ A. Matějů
1–1 P. Wiśniewski
own goal
64′
71′
🔁 P. Candelari
↦ Á. Nagy
71′
🔁 G. Di Serio
↦ E. Soleri
F. Di Mariano 🔁
↦ R. Insigne
72′
78′
ℹ️ Giuseppe Di Serio
VAR: Penalty cancelled
C. Gomes 🔁
↦ F. Ranocchia
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Palermo

4-1-4-1
1 S. Desplanches G
23 S. Diakité D
4 R. Baniya D
43 D. Nikolaou D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
10 F. Ranocchia M
11 R. Insigne M
8 J. Segre M
26 V. Verre M
17 F. Di Francesco M
20 T. Henry F
Bench (12)
21 J. Le Douaron
14 A. Vasić
3 K. Lund
7 F. Di Mariano
6 C. Gomes
19 S. Appuah
18 I. Nedelcearu
25 A. Buttaro
9 M. Brunori
29 P. Peda
12 M. Nespola
46 S. Sirigu

Coach: A. Dionisi

Spezia

3-5-2
66 S. Gori G
2 P. Wiśniewski D
55 P. Hristov D
37 A. Matějů D
32 L. Vignali M
29 F. Cassata M
5 S. Esposito M
8 Á. Nagy M
7 S. Elia M
27 E. Soleri F
9 F. Esposito F
Bench (12)
77 N. Bertola
13 A. Reca
25 F. Bandinelli
36 P. Candelari
20 G. Di Serio
31 G. Aurelio
65 S. Giorgeschi
17 A. Čolak
11 D. Falcinelli
12 D. Mascardi
6 D. Degli Innocenti
4 Salvador Ferrer

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
U
3,08
B
3,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Prontera · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.