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Super League

Referee: S Wolfensberger

Servette

S U T U T

3–0

Full-time

Lugano

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 50%

47%

53%

Points per game

1,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

67%

53%

Both score Ø 70%

67%

73%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,76 xG 1,12

43% Possession 57%

17 Shots 9

10 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Servette 5. · Lugano 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	16	9	2	5	+22	+11.5	29
2	Lugano	15	8	4	3	+9	+4.1	28
3	Zurich	16	7	6	3	+4	-2.8	27
4	Luzern	16	7	5	4	+5	+1.8	26
5	Servette	15	7	4	4	+0	-1.5	25
6	Lausanne	16	7	3	6	+3	+9.4	24
7	St. Gallen	15	5	6	4	+6	-2.0	21
8	Sion	16	5	5	6	+1	+6.9	20
9	Young Boys	15	4	5	6	-5	-1.5	17
10	Yverdon	16	4	4	8	-11	-11.2	16
11	Winterthur	16	3	3	10	-23	-13.8	12
12	Grasshoppers	16	2	5	9	-11	-0.9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	8	6	1	1	+10	+5.5	19
2	Lausanne	8	6	0	2	+8	+8.6	18
3	Basel	8	5	1	2	+8	+9.3	16
4	Luzern	8	4	2	2	+5	+5.1	14
5	Servette	7	4	2	1	+1	+0.5	14
6	St. Gallen	8	3	4	1	+7	+0.4	13
7	Sion	8	3	4	1	+6	+9.9	13
8	Zurich	8	3	4	1	+3	-2.3	13
9	Young Boys	7	3	2	2	+1	-4.8	11
10	Yverdon	8	3	1	4	-5	-3.1	10
11	Winterthur	8	3	1	4	-8	-3.2	10
12	Grasshoppers	8	1	4	3	-3	+3.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	8	4	2	2	+1	-0.4	14
2	Basel	8	4	1	3	+14	+2.2	13
3	Luzern	8	3	3	2	+0	-3.3	12
4	Servette	8	3	2	3	-1	-2.0	11
5	Lugano	7	2	3	2	-1	-1.4	9
6	St. Gallen	7	2	2	3	-1	-2.4	8
7	Sion	8	2	1	5	-5	-3.0	7
8	Lausanne	8	1	3	4	-5	+0.8	6
9	Young Boys	8	1	3	4	-6	+3.3	6
10	Yverdon	8	1	3	4	-6	-8.1	6
11	Grasshoppers	8	1	1	6	-8	-4.2	4
12	Winterthur	8	0	2	6	-15	-10.6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.