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2. Bundesliga
Referee: L Benen
Regensburg
T T T U T
0–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Regensburg Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
2,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,8
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
13%
63%
Points per game
0,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 19%
0%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,1
1,4
Conceded
2,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-2,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Regensburg 18. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 8 5 2 1 +4 17
2 Magdeburg 8 4 4 0 +8 16
3 Paderborn 8 4 4 0 +7 16
4 Karlsruhe 8 4 4 0 +5 16
5 Hamburg 8 4 3 1 +11 15
6 Hertha 9 4 2 3 +1 14
7 Hannover 8 4 1 3 +3 13
8 Elversberg 8 3 3 2 +5 12
9 FC Koln 9 3 3 3 +3 12
10 Greuther Furth 8 2 4 2 +3 10
11 Nurnberg 8 3 1 4 -5 10
12 Kaiserslautern 8 2 3 3 -2 9
13 Darmstadt 9 2 3 4 -3 9
14 Schalke 04 8 2 2 4 -3 8
15 Ulm 8 2 1 5 -2 7
16 Braunschweig 9 2 1 6 -12 7
17 Preußen Münster 8 1 2 5 -5 5
18 Regensburg 8 1 1 6 -18 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Regensburg Fortuna Dusseldorf
10′
ℹ️ Dawid Kownacki
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Christian Viet 🟨
41′
43′
🟨 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
44′
T. Oberdorf 0–1
Í. Jóhannesson
Half-time 0–1
E. Huth 🔁
↦ E. Hottmann
63′
N. Ganaus 🔁
↦ C. Kühlwetter
63′
65′
🔁 J. Niemiec
↦ F. Klaus
65′
🔁 N. Mbamba
↦ S. Appelkamp
Leopold Wurm 🟨
72′
76′
🔁 M. van Brederode
↦ J. Quarshie
D. Galjen 🔁
↦ S. Ernst
78′
81′
D. Kownacki 0–2
M. van Brederode
Leopold Wurm 🟨
83′
Leopold Wurm 🟥
83′
85′
🔁 V. Vermeij
↦ D. Kownacki
85′
🔁 D. Schmidt
↦ Í. Jóhannesson
Florian Ballas 🟨
87′
Bryan Hein 🟥
88′
89′
V. Vermeij 0–3
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Regensburg

3-4-1-2
1 F. Gebhardt G
37 L. Wurm D
4 F. Ballas D
16 L. Breunig D
33 K. Pröger M
5 R. Bulić M
10 C. Viet M
3 B. Hein M
15 S. Ernst F
9 E. Hottmann F
30 C. Kühlwetter F
Bench (9)
29 E. Huth
20 N. Ganaus
39 D. Galjen
8 A. Geipl
27 D. Kother
25 J. Bauer
40 M. Ouro-Tagba
14 R. Ziegele
32 A. Weidinger

Coach: J. Enochs

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
19 E. Iyoha D
15 T. Oberdorf D
30 J. de Wijs D
5 J. Quarshie D
23 S. Appelkamp M
25 M. Zimmermann M
11 F. Klaus M
8 Í. Jóhannesson M
21 T. Rossmann M
24 D. Kownacki F
Bench (9)
18 J. Niemiec
39 N. Mbamba
10 M. van Brederode
9 V. Vermeij
22 D. Schmidt
27 D. Jastrzembski
20 J. Siebert
46 S. Suso
1 R. Kwasigroch

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,22
U
3,83
B ✓
1,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Benen · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.