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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Prigan

Paderborn

U U U S U

3–0

Full-time

Regensburg

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Regensburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,0

0,2

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-2,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

43%

14%

Points per game

1,9

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

71%

43%

Both score Ø 43%

86%

Average goals

3,1

2,4

Scored

1,9

0,1

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-2,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

74% Possession 26%

22 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 5. · Regensburg 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	5	2	0	+7	17
2	Magdeburg	7	4	3	0	+8	15
3	Karlsruhe	7	4	3	0	+5	15
4	Hannover	7	4	1	2	+5	13
5	Paderborn	7	3	4	0	+4	13
6	Hamburg	7	3	3	1	+8	12
7	Hertha	7	3	1	3	-1	10
8	FC Koln	7	2	3	2	+5	9
9	Elversberg	7	2	3	2	+4	9
10	Greuther Furth	7	2	3	2	+3	9
11	Kaiserslautern	7	2	3	2	-1	9
12	Ulm	7	2	1	4	+0	7
13	Schalke 04	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Nurnberg	7	2	1	4	-6	7
15	Preußen Münster	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Darmstadt	7	1	2	4	-7	5
17	Braunschweig	7	1	1	5	-12	4
18	Regensburg	7	1	1	5	-15	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Karlsruhe	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Hamburg	4	2	2	0	+8	8
4	Paderborn	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Greuther Furth	4	1	2	1	+1	5
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	FC Koln	4	1	1	2	+3	4
8	Elversberg	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Regensburg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
10	Schalke 04	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Magdeburg	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Ulm	4	1	0	3	-1	3
13	Braunschweig	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Hertha	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Nurnberg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Kaiserslautern	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Preußen Münster	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Darmstadt	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Hertha	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Kaiserslautern	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Paderborn	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	Karlsruhe	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	FC Koln	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Elversberg	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Greuther Furth	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Ulm	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Hamburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Schalke 04	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Preußen Münster	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Darmstadt	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Braunschweig	4	0	1	3	-11	1
18	Regensburg	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.