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2. Bundesliga

Referee: R Kampka

Hertha

U S U S U

2–2

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

Scored

2,3

2,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 47%

41%

53%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

76%

59%

Both score Ø 59%

59%

Average goals

3,5

3,4

Scored

1,9

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%

10 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

22 Free kicks against 13

6 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hertha 8. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	18	9	9	0	+18	36
2	Holstein Kiel	18	11	2	5	+9	35
3	Hamburg	18	10	4	4	+13	34
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	9	3	5	+16	30
5	Greuther Furth	17	8	5	4	+7	29
6	Paderborn	17	8	3	6	+0	27
7	Nurnberg	18	8	3	7	-6	27
8	Hertha	17	7	4	6	+7	25
9	Hannover	18	6	7	5	+7	25
10	Elversberg	18	7	4	7	-3	25
11	Karlsruhe	18	6	6	6	+1	24
12	Wehen	17	6	4	7	-3	22
13	Magdeburg	17	5	5	7	+2	20
14	Schalke 04	18	6	2	10	-6	20
15	Kaiserslautern	18	5	3	10	-10	18
16	Braunschweig	18	5	2	11	-14	17
17	Hansa Rostock	18	5	2	11	-14	17
18	Osnabruck	18	1	6	11	-24	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	8	7	0	1	+12	21
2	St Pauli	10	5	5	0	+13	20
3	Greuther Furth	9	6	2	1	+12	20
4	Karlsruhe	10	5	3	2	+5	18
5	Holstein Kiel	10	5	1	4	+2	16
6	Hannover	8	4	3	1	+11	15
7	Hertha	8	4	2	2	+12	14
8	Paderborn	8	4	2	2	+4	14
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Nurnberg	9	4	2	3	-1	14
11	Schalke 04	9	4	1	4	+3	13
12	Kaiserslautern	9	4	1	4	+0	13
13	Wehen	8	3	3	2	-1	12
14	Magdeburg	8	3	2	3	+3	11
15	Elversberg	9	3	2	4	-2	11
16	Braunschweig	9	3	2	4	-4	11
17	Hansa Rostock	9	3	1	5	-4	10
18	Osnabruck	9	1	3	5	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	8	6	1	1	+7	19
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	5	1	2	+14	16
3	St Pauli	8	4	4	0	+5	16
4	Elversberg	9	4	2	3	-1	14
5	Hamburg	10	3	4	3	+1	13
6	Paderborn	9	4	1	4	-4	13
7	Nurnberg	9	4	1	4	-5	13
8	Hertha	9	3	2	4	-5	11
9	Wehen	9	3	1	5	-2	10
10	Hannover	10	2	4	4	-4	10
11	Magdeburg	9	2	3	4	-1	9
12	Greuther Furth	8	2	3	3	-5	9
13	Schalke 04	9	2	1	6	-9	7
14	Hansa Rostock	9	2	1	6	-10	7
15	Karlsruhe	8	1	3	4	-4	6
16	Braunschweig	9	2	0	7	-10	6
17	Kaiserslautern	9	1	2	6	-10	5
18	Osnabruck	9	0	3	6	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.