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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Braun
4–4
Full-time
Magdeburg
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kaiserslautern Magdeburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-2,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
2,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
3,0
3,6
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kaiserslautern 7. · Magdeburg 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 6 4 1 1 +12 13
2 Darmstadt 6 4 1 1 +5 13
3 Hamburg 6 4 0 2 +5 12
4 Heidenheim 6 3 2 1 +6 11
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 6 3 2 1 +5 11
6 Karlsruhe 6 3 1 2 +3 10
7 Kaiserslautern 5 3 1 1 +3 10
8 Hansa Rostock 6 3 0 3 -3 9
9 St Pauli 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Holstein Kiel 5 2 2 1 -1 8
11 Hannover 5 2 1 2 +2 7
12 Nurnberg 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Regensburg 6 2 1 3 -6 7
14 Sandhausen 5 2 0 3 -1 6
15 Bielefeld 6 1 1 4 -4 4
16 Greuther Furth 5 0 3 2 -4 3
17 Magdeburg 5 1 0 4 -8 3
18 Braunschweig 6 0 1 5 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kaiserslautern Magdeburg
1–0 T. Boyd
M. Ritter
7′
11′
M. Kwarteng 1–1
M. El Hankouri
13′
ℹ️ Moritz-Broni Kwarteng
VAR: Goal confirmed
17′
M. El Hankouri 1–2
M. Kwarteng
22′
M. Kwarteng 1–3
J. Lawrence
2–3 B. Tomiak
P. Klement
40′
Half-time 2–3
R. Bormuth 🔁
↦ K. Redondo
46′
3–3 P. Hercher
M. Ritter
47′
Philipp Klement ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
63′
64′
🟨 Amara Condé
66′
🔁 C. Krempicki
↦ M. El Hankouri
66′
🔁 J. Ceka
↦ L. Schuler
66′
🔁 A. Bittroff
↦ J. Rieckmann
4–3 M. Wunderlich
66′
73′
🟨 Alexander Bittroff
79′
B. Tomiak 5–3
own goal
H. Çiftçi 🔁
↦ M. Wunderlich
80′
81′
🔁 D. Elfadli
↦ A. Müller
88′
🔁 K. Brünker
↦ T. Ito
D. Hanslik 🔁
↦ P. Hercher
91′
Jean Zimmer 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Leon Bell Bell
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Kaiserslautern

4-2-3-1
1 A. Luthe G
8 J. Zimmer D
2 B. Tomiak D
5 K. Kraus D
37 E. Durm D
7 M. Ritter M
10 P. Klement M
23 P. Hercher M
28 M. Wunderlich M
11 K. Redondo M
13 T. Boyd F
Bench (9)
32 R. Bormuth
6 H. Çiftçi
19 D. Hanslik
30 A. Spahić
16 J. Niehues
20 D. Schad
22 L. Bünning
39 A. Basenach
27 L. Lobinger

Coach: D. Schuster

Magdeburg

4-3-3
1 D. Reimann G
11 M. El Hankouri D
5 J. Lawrence D
25 S. Gnaka D
19 L. Bell Bell D
16 A. Müller M
20 J. Rieckmann M
29 A. Condé M
8 M. Kwarteng F
26 L. Schuler F
37 T. Ito F
Bench (9)
13 C. Krempicki
10 J. Ceka
24 A. Bittroff
6 D. Elfadli
9 K. Brünker
28 T. Boss
17 Léo Scienza
22 T. Sechelmann
15 Ö. Beyaz

Coach: C. Titz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,90
U ✓
3,91
B
3,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,52
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Braun · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.