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2. Bundesliga
Referee: B Dankert
0–3
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kaiserslautern Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,5
3,7
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
38%
54%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
85%
54%
Both score Ø 77%
85%
69%
Average goals
3,8
3,4
Scored
1,9
1,8
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 10
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kaiserslautern 11. · Holstein Kiel 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 14 8 6 0 +16 30
2 Hamburg 14 8 3 3 +10 27
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 14 7 3 4 +11 24
4 Elversberg 14 7 3 4 +3 24
5 Hannover 14 6 5 3 +11 23
6 Holstein Kiel 13 7 2 4 +2 23
7 Greuther Furth 13 6 3 4 +4 21
8 Wehen 13 6 3 4 +2 21
9 Nurnberg 13 6 3 4 +0 21
10 Hertha 14 5 3 6 +2 18
11 Kaiserslautern 13 5 3 5 +0 18
12 Paderborn 14 5 3 6 -5 18
13 Magdeburg 14 4 4 6 +0 16
14 Hansa Rostock 14 5 1 8 -6 16
15 Karlsruhe 13 3 4 6 -4 13
16 Schalke 04 14 4 1 9 -10 13
17 Braunschweig 14 2 2 10 -17 8
18 Osnabruck 14 1 4 9 -19 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kaiserslautern Holstein Kiel
16′
B. Pichler 0–1
44′
J. Arp 0–2
P. Sander
Half-time 0–2
Marlon Ritter 🟨
46′
46′
🟨 Steven Skrzybski
T. Raschl 🔁
↦ P. Klement
46′
E. Durm 🔁
↦ J. Zimmer
46′
A. Touré 🔁
↦ H. Zuck
46′
58′
B. Pichler 0–3
T. Rothe
68′
🔁 M. Schulz
↦ S. Skrzybski
68′
🔁 B. Simakala
↦ J. Arp
D. Hanslik 🔁
↦ M. Ritter
80′
P. Hercher 🔁
↦ T. Boyd
80′
81′
🔁 S. Machino
↦ B. Pichler
81′
🔁 L. Rosenboom
↦ F. Porath
85′
🔁 M. Ivezić
↦ P. Sander
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Kaiserslautern

4-2-3-1
18 J. Krahl G
8 J. Zimmer D
33 J. Elvedi D
5 K. Kraus D
21 H. Zuck D
16 J. Niehues M
10 P. Klement M
29 R. Tachie M
7 M. Ritter M
15 T. Puchacz M
13 T. Boyd F
Bench (9)
20 T. Raschl
37 E. Durm
6 A. Touré
19 D. Hanslik
23 P. Hercher
27 L. Lobinger
1 A. Luthe
11 K. Redondo
14 N. Soldo

Coach: D. Schuster

Holstein Kiel

3-5-2
1 T. Weiner G
17 T. Becker D
4 P. Erras D
34 C. Kleine-Bekel D
8 F. Porath M
16 P. Sander M
10 L. Holtby M
20 J. Arp M
18 T. Rothe M
9 B. Pichler F
7 S. Skrzybski F
Bench (9)
15 M. Schulz
11 B. Simakala
13 S. Machino
23 L. Rosenboom
6 M. Ivezić
22 N. Remberg
27 J. Mees
31 M. Engelhardt
39 N. Oberbeck

Coach: M. Rapp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U
3,74
B ✓
3,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Dankert · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.