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Championship
Referee: D Whitestone
Nott'm Forest
T T T T U
1–2
Full-time
Cardiff
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Championship · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
60%
67%
Both score Ø 82%
80%
83%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 22
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nott'm Forest 25. · Cardiff 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 7 5 2 0 +8 17
2 Fulham 6 4 1 1 +9 13
3 Stoke 6 4 1 1 +2 13
4 QPR 6 3 3 0 +6 12
5 Bournemouth 6 3 3 0 +6 12
6 Coventry 6 4 0 2 +2 12
7 Birmingham 6 3 2 1 +6 11
8 Luton 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Huddersfield 6 3 1 2 +1 10
10 Preston 7 3 1 3 -1 10
11 Cardiff 6 2 3 1 +3 9
12 Blackburn 6 2 3 1 +1 9
13 Sheffield United 7 2 2 3 +2 8
14 Bristol City 6 2 2 2 +0 8
15 Millwall 6 1 3 2 -2 6
16 Middlesbrough 6 1 3 2 -2 6
17 Barnsley 6 1 3 2 -3 6
18 Derby 7 1 3 3 -3 6
19 Blackpool 6 1 2 3 -3 5
20 Hull 6 1 2 3 -3 5
21 Swansea 6 1 2 3 -4 5
22 Reading 6 1 1 4 -6 4
23 Peterboro 6 1 1 4 -8 4
24 Peterborough 6 1 1 4 -8 4
25 Nott'm Forest 5 0 1 4 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nott'm Forest Cardiff
1–0 L. Grabban
M. Lowe
23′
33′
🟨 Will Vaulks
Half-time 1–0
56′
🔁 K. Moore
↦ J. Collins
57′
🔁 R. Colwill
↦ S. Bowen
58′
R. Colwill 1–1
A. Flint
J. Lolley 🔁
↦ P. Zinckernagel
67′
73′
R. Colwill 1–2
K. Moore
75′
🟨 Marlon Pack
76′
🟨 Perry Ng
A. Mighten 🔁
↦ B. Johnson
81′
87′
🔁 K. Evans
↦ M. Harris
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-4-1-1
30 B. Samba G
15 M. Lowe D
26 S. McKenna D
4 J. Worrall D
2 D. Spence D
22 R. Yates M
37 J. Garner M
20 B. Johnson M
7 L. Grabban F
33 L. Taylor F
11 P. Zinckernagel M
Bench (7)
23 J. Lolley
17 A. Mighten
3 Tobias Figueiredo
1 E. Horvath
8 J. Colback
6 L. Mbe Soh
10 João Carvalho

Coach: C. Hughton

Cardiff

4-1-3-2
1 D. Phillips G
4 S. Morrison D
5 A. Flint D
16 C. Nelson D
38 P. Ng D
3 J. Bagan M
21 M. Pack M
6 W. Vaulks M
37 S. Bowen M
19 J. Collins F
29 M. Harris
Bench (7)
10 K. Moore
27 R. Colwill
36 K. Evans
2 M. McGuinness
25 A. Smithies
28 T. Sang
30 C. Brown

Coach: M. McCarthy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,96
U
3,08
B ✓
2,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,33
U2,5
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.