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Championship

Referee: G Eltringham

Nott'm Forest

T U U S U

0–3

Full-time

Millwall

U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Millwall

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,3

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Championship · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 39%

44%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

42%

36%

Both score Ø 56%

53%

58%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

68% Possession 32%

18 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 5

6 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nott'm Forest 4. · Millwall 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	36	19	12	5	+27	69
2	Leeds	36	20	8	8	+24	68
3	Fulham	34	18	8	8	+15	62
4	Nott'm Forest	36	16	12	8	+13	60
5	Preston	36	16	8	12	+7	56
6	Bristol City	36	15	9	12	-2	54
7	Blackburn	36	14	11	11	+10	53
8	Swansea	34	13	13	8	+6	52
9	Millwall	36	12	15	9	+1	51
10	Cardiff	35	12	14	9	+0	50
11	Brentford	33	13	9	11	+20	48
12	Sheffield Weds	36	13	9	14	+2	48
13	Derby	36	12	12	12	-3	48
14	QPR	36	13	8	15	-6	47
15	Birmingham	36	12	11	13	-7	47
16	Reading	36	12	9	15	+2	45
17	Huddersfield	36	11	9	16	-11	42
18	Hull	36	11	8	17	-10	41
19	Wigan	36	10	10	16	-12	40
20	Charlton	36	10	9	17	-9	39
21	Stoke	36	11	6	19	-10	39
22	Middlesbrough	36	8	14	14	-11	38
23	Barnsley	36	8	10	18	-18	34
24	Luton	36	10	4	22	-28	34

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	19	12	2	5	+11	38
2	Preston	18	11	3	4	+13	36
3	Derby	18	9	7	2	+12	34
4	Leeds	17	10	4	3	+11	34
5	Blackburn	19	8	8	3	+8	32
6	West Brom	18	8	7	3	+13	31
7	Cardiff	17	8	7	2	+9	31
8	Millwall	18	8	7	3	+7	31
9	QPR	19	8	5	6	+4	29
10	Swansea	17	8	4	5	+7	28
11	Nott'm Forest	17	8	4	5	+4	28
12	Brentford	15	7	5	3	+13	26
13	Charlton	18	7	5	6	+3	26
14	Huddersfield	19	7	5	7	-1	26
15	Middlesbrough	19	6	8	5	-1	26
16	Sheffield Weds	18	7	5	6	-5	26
17	Luton	18	7	4	7	+0	25
18	Bristol City	17	7	4	6	-2	25
19	Stoke	18	7	3	8	+1	24
20	Birmingham	17	6	5	6	+0	23
21	Reading	18	7	2	9	-1	23
22	Wigan	17	6	5	6	-4	23
23	Barnsley	18	5	7	6	-5	22
24	Hull	19	6	3	10	-6	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	18	11	5	2	+14	38
2	Leeds	19	10	4	5	+13	34
3	Nott'm Forest	19	8	8	3	+9	32
4	Bristol City	19	8	5	6	+0	29
5	Fulham	15	6	6	3	+4	24
6	Swansea	17	5	9	3	-1	24
7	Birmingham	19	6	6	7	-7	24
8	Sheffield Weds	18	6	4	8	+7	22
9	Brentford	18	6	4	8	+7	22
10	Reading	18	5	7	6	+3	22
11	Blackburn	17	6	3	8	+2	21
12	Hull	17	5	5	7	-4	20
13	Millwall	18	4	8	6	-6	20
14	Preston	18	5	5	8	-6	20
15	Cardiff	18	4	7	7	-9	19
16	QPR	17	5	3	9	-10	18
17	Wigan	19	4	5	10	-8	17
18	Huddersfield	17	4	4	9	-10	16
19	Stoke	18	4	3	11	-11	15
20	Derby	18	3	5	10	-15	14
21	Charlton	18	3	4	11	-12	13
22	Middlesbrough	17	2	6	9	-10	12
23	Barnsley	18	3	3	12	-13	12
24	Luton	18	3	0	15	-28	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.