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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

S T U S T

3–1

Full-time

Braunschweig

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Braunschweig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

38%

23%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

54%

77%

Both score Ø 50%

46%

54%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

9 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 6

11 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 7. · Braunschweig 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	13	8	4	1	+11	28
2	Bochum	14	8	2	4	+11	26
3	Hamburg	13	8	2	3	+10	26
4	Greuther Furth	13	7	3	3	+10	24
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	7	2	4	+1	23
6	Heidenheim	14	6	4	4	+3	22
7	Erzgebirge Aue	13	5	4	4	+5	19
8	Karlsruhe	14	6	1	7	+2	19
9	Nurnberg	14	5	4	5	+2	19
10	Osnabruck	13	5	4	4	-1	19
11	Paderborn	13	5	3	5	+2	18
12	Darmstadt	14	5	3	6	+1	18
13	Hannover	13	5	2	6	+1	17
14	Regensburg	13	4	5	4	+0	17
15	Braunschweig	13	3	3	7	-16	12
16	Sandhausen	13	3	2	8	-15	11
17	St Pauli	12	1	5	6	-9	8
18	Wurzburger Kickers	13	1	1	11	-18	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	8	5	3	0	+9	18
2	Bochum	8	5	2	1	+12	17
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	5	1	0	+7	16
4	Holstein Kiel	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Hamburg	7	4	1	2	+7	13
6	Hannover	6	4	1	1	+7	13
7	Erzgebirge Aue	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Regensburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Nurnberg	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Paderborn	6	3	1	2	+2	10
11	Braunschweig	7	3	1	3	-4	10
12	Darmstadt	6	2	2	2	+1	8
13	Sandhausen	7	2	2	3	-6	8
14	Greuther Furth	6	2	1	3	-1	7
15	Osnabruck	6	2	1	3	-3	7
16	Karlsruhe	6	2	0	4	+0	6
17	St Pauli	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Wurzburger Kickers	7	1	1	5	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	Holstein Kiel	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Hamburg	6	4	1	1	+3	13
4	Karlsruhe	8	4	1	3	+2	13
5	Osnabruck	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Darmstadt	8	3	1	4	+0	10
7	Bochum	6	3	0	3	-1	9
8	Nurnberg	7	2	2	3	+1	8
9	Erzgebirge Aue	7	2	2	3	+0	8
10	Paderborn	7	2	2	3	+0	8
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Regensburg	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Heidenheim	6	1	1	4	-6	4
14	Hannover	7	1	1	5	-6	4
15	St Pauli	6	0	3	3	-4	3
16	Sandhausen	6	1	0	5	-9	3
17	Braunschweig	6	0	2	4	-12	2
18	Wurzburger Kickers	6	0	0	6	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.