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2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

S S S T U

2–3

Full-time

Karlsruhe

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,8

4,2

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 50%

53%

47%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

47%

67%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

15 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 6

11 Corners 7

7 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 4. · Karlsruhe 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	16	10	2	4	+15	32
2	Hamburg	15	9	3	3	+12	30
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	9	3	4	+5	30
4	Holstein Kiel	15	8	5	2	+10	29
5	Greuther Furth	16	8	4	4	+10	28
6	Hannover	16	7	2	7	+5	23
7	Karlsruhe	15	7	1	7	+3	22
8	Erzgebirge Aue	16	6	4	6	+3	22
9	Paderborn	16	6	4	6	+2	22
10	Osnabruck	15	6	4	5	-1	22
11	Heidenheim	15	6	4	5	-1	22
12	Nurnberg	16	5	5	6	+0	20
13	Darmstadt	15	5	3	7	+0	18
14	Regensburg	15	4	5	6	-4	17
15	Sandhausen	15	4	2	9	-15	14
16	Braunschweig	16	3	5	8	-18	14
17	St Pauli	16	2	7	7	-9	13
18	Wurzburger Kickers	16	2	3	11	-17	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	9	6	2	1	+14	20
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	6	1	0	+8	19
3	Heidenheim	8	5	3	0	+9	18
4	Hannover	8	5	1	2	+10	16
5	Hamburg	8	5	1	2	+9	16
6	Erzgebirge Aue	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Holstein Kiel	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	Paderborn	7	4	1	2	+3	13
9	Nurnberg	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Greuther Furth	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Regensburg	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Sandhausen	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Braunschweig	8	3	2	3	-4	11
14	Karlsruhe	7	3	0	4	+1	9
15	Darmstadt	7	2	2	3	+0	8
16	Osnabruck	7	2	1	4	-4	7
17	St Pauli	7	1	3	3	-5	6
18	Wurzburger Kickers	9	1	3	5	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	8	5	2	1	+10	17
2	Holstein Kiel	7	4	3	0	+8	15
3	Osnabruck	8	4	3	1	+3	15
4	Hamburg	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Karlsruhe	8	4	1	3	+2	13
6	Bochum	7	4	0	3	+1	12
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Darmstadt	8	3	1	4	+0	10
9	Paderborn	9	2	3	4	-1	9
10	Nurnberg	8	2	2	4	-1	8
11	Erzgebirge Aue	8	2	2	4	-1	8
12	St Pauli	9	1	4	4	-4	7
13	Hannover	8	2	1	5	-5	7
14	Regensburg	7	1	3	3	-4	6
15	Heidenheim	7	1	1	5	-10	4
16	Wurzburger Kickers	7	1	0	6	-9	3
17	Sandhausen	7	1	0	6	-13	3
18	Braunschweig	8	0	3	5	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.